Prediction: Reipas vs Union Plaani
Team pages: Reipas · Union Plaani
- Union Plaani1-0Reipas
- Union Plaani1-0Reipas
- Reipas4-2Union Plaani
| Reipas | Draw | Union Plaani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 23% | 36% |
| Market | 42% | 22% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Plaani (rating 1471 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Union Plaani: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reipas | Union Plaani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reipas 1–0–2 Union Plaani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Union Plaani | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Reipas |
| 22/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Union Plaani | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Reipas |
| 13/06/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A | Reipas | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Union Plaani |
Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reipas | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 42 | 27 |
| 2 | Union Plaani | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 49 | 24 |
| 3 | Puiu | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 45 | 21 |
| 4 | MyPa | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 53 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reipas | Union Plaani |
|---|---|---|
| MyPa | 7-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Puiu | 0-0 D | 3-3 D |
| PEPO | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Atlantis | 2-4 L | 3-6 L |
| PPJ | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Reipas (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reipas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
3-0 | 7-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Union Plaani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 07/08 | Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A |
1-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reipas vs Union Plaani?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reipas win (42%). Probabilities: Reipas 42%, draw 23%, Union Plaani 36%.
How many goals are expected in Reipas vs Union Plaani?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Reipas 2.01 · Union Plaani 1.86), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Reipas vs Union Plaani?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.