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Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Puiu vs Reipas

Team pages: Puiu · Reipas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.83Total
Puiu2.39
Reipas1.44
1X2
58% 20% 22%
Puiu Draw Reipas
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Puiu 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDDLLLDWDW
Reipas 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLDLWW
Head-to-head
Puiu 2–2–2 Reipas (6 last)
  • Reipas0-0Puiu
  • Puiu4-1Reipas
  • Reipas3-1Puiu
  • Reipas0-1Puiu
  • Puiu1-1Reipas
  • Puiu2-4Reipas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puiu 1489 · Reipas 1493
PuiuDrawReipas
Our model58%21%22%
Market58%20%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PuiuReipas
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.92.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.61.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.83.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puiu 2–2–2 Reipas

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas0-0
HT 0-0
Puiu
18/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Puiu4-1
HT 4-1
Reipas
08/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas3-1
HT 3-0
Puiu
03/08/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Reipas0-1
HT 0-0
Puiu
01/06/25
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Puiu1-1
HT 0-0
Reipas
08/09/17
Finland Kolmonen
Puiu2-4
HT 1-1
Reipas

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reipas 239311 474230
2 Puiu 236611 364524
3 Union Plaani 237313 305324
4 MyPa 235315 285518

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuiuReipas
MyPa 2-0 W 7-1 W
Union Plaani 3-3 D 4-0 W
Atlantis 2-2 D 2-4 L
PEPO 2-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Reipas (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puiu

LDDLLLDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-0 2-0 54 W
26/09 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-0 3-3 77 D
19/09 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-0 3-0 15 W
12/09 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-0 0-0 73 D
06/09 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-2 2-4 52 L
22/08 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-1 1-2 54 L
15/08 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-2 1-3 35 L
08/08 HIFK 2
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-0 2-2 39 D
01/08 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-0 2-2 08 D
24/07 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-1 2-3 25 L

Reipas

WWLLLLDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 3-0 4-0 65 W
26/09 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 3-0 7-1 87 W
19/09 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 0-1 53 L
12/09 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-0 0-0 93 D
04/09 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-3 1-5 43 L
22/08 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 0-1 73 L
16/08 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 0-1 1-2 23 L
07/08 Atlantis
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-2 2-4 75 L
02/08 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 2-0 2-1 22 W
25/07 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
 1-0 4-2 75 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puiu vs Reipas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Puiu win (58%). Probabilities: Puiu 58%, draw 20%, Reipas 22%.

How many goals are expected in Puiu vs Reipas?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Puiu 2.39 · Reipas 1.44), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Puiu vs Reipas?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.