Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Union Plaani vs MyPa

Team pages: Union Plaani · MyPa

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Union Plaani2.8
MyPa1.06
1X2
74% 15% 12%
Union Plaani Draw MyPa
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Plaani 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLLWWWWWDL
MyPa 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWLLLL
Head-to-head
Union Plaani 1–4 MyPa (5 last)
  • MyPa2-3Union Plaani
  • MyPa2-0Union Plaani
  • Union Plaani1-3MyPa
  • MyPa7-0Union Plaani
  • MyPa3-1Union Plaani
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Plaani 1513 · MyPa 1444
Union PlaaniDrawMyPa
Our model73%16%11%
Market74%14%12%
Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Plaani (rating 1513 vs 1444).
  • H2H favours MyPa: 4-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union PlaaniMyPa
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.41.4 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.60.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.52.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 05.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Plaani 1–0–4 MyPa

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/09/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
MyPa2-3
HT 0-2
Union Plaani
11/07/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
MyPa2-0
HT 1-0
Union Plaani
02/05/26
Finland Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani1-3
HT 0-0
MyPa
09/09/23
Finland Kolmonen
MyPa7-0
HT 4-0
Union Plaani
27/04/22
Finland Kolmonen
MyPa3-1
HT 0-1
Union Plaani

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Reipas 239311 474230
2 Puiu 236611 364524
3 Union Plaani 237313 305324
4 MyPa 235315 285518

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion PlaaniMyPa
Reipas 0-4 L 1-7 L
Puiu 3-3 D 0-2 L
Kiffen 0-1 L 0-0 D
PEPO 0-2 L 1-4 L
PPJ 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Union Plaani (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Plaani

WLLWWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 0-4 55 L
26/09 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 3-3 47 D
19/09 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-0 53 W
12/09 MyPa
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 3-2 64 W
06/09 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-1 4-2 42 W
22/08 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-0 1-0 13 W
15/08 HPS
Finland Kakkonen Group A
2-0 3-0 106 W
07/08 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-1 45 L
31/07 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 0-2 35 L
24/07 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 1-0 35 W

MyPa

LDLLWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/10 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-2 114 L
26/09 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-3 1-7 47 L
19/09 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 0-3 45 L
12/09 Union Plaani
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 2-3 54 L
04/09 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
3-1 5-1 83 W
22/08 Puiu
Finland Kakkonen Group A
1-1 2-1 54 W
13/08 PPJ
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-2 1-2 58 L
07/08 PEPO
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 1-4 37 L
01/08 Kiffen
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-0 0-0 45 D
25/07 Reipas
Finland Kakkonen Group A
0-1 2-4 25 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Plaani vs MyPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Plaani win (74%). Probabilities: Union Plaani 74%, draw 15%, MyPa 12%.

How many goals are expected in Union Plaani vs MyPa?

The model expects 3.86 goals (Union Plaani 2.8 · MyPa 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Plaani vs MyPa?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.