Football · Romania Liga III · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Steaua Bucharest II
Team pages: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti · Steaua Bucharest II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti2.37
Steaua Bucharest II1.38
1X2
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Draw
Steaua Bucharest II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Steaua Bucharest II
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
2–3–1
Steaua Bucharest II
(6 last)
- AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti2-1Steaua Bucharest II
- Steaua Bucharest II1-1AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- Steaua Bucharest II3-1AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- Steaua Bucharest II0-2AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- Steaua Bucharest II0-0AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti2-2Steaua Bucharest II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1490 · Steaua Bucharest II 1484
| AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | Draw | Steaua Bucharest II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | Steaua Bucharest II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 33/0/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 2–3–1 Steaua Bucharest II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/21 Romania Liga III | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Steaua Bucharest II |
| 24/09/21 Romania Liga III | Steaua Bucharest II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 07/11/20 Romania Liga III | Steaua Bucharest II | 3-1 HT 2-1 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 19/04/19 Romania Liga III | Steaua Bucharest II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 01/08/18 Europe Friendlies | Steaua Bucharest II | 0-0 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 26/05/18 Romania Liga III | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Steaua Bucharest II |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CS Omega Sport Bucuresti | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Dunarea Giurgiu | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | ACS Inter Ilfov | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 4 | Acs Axi Arena | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Dinamo Bucharest II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | CSM Alexandria | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 8 |
| 7 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 10 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Steaua Bucharest II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Voluntari II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | Steaua Bucharest II |
|---|---|---|
| CSM Alexandria | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Oxigen Bucuresti | 5-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | CS Omega Sport Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Progresul Mogosoaia Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III |
4-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | CSL Nanov Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Steaua Bucharest II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/09 | Oxigen Bucuresti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | ACS Inter Ilfov Romania Liga III |
2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Cetatea Turnu Magurele Romania Liga III |
– | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Steaua Bucharest II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti win (58%). Probabilities: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 58%, draw 21%, Steaua Bucharest II 20%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Steaua Bucharest II?
The model expects 3.74 goals (AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 2.37 · Steaua Bucharest II 1.38), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Steaua Bucharest II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.