Prediction: Mossley vs Nantwich Town

Team pages: Mossley · Nantwich Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Mossley1.65
Nantwich Town1.42
1X2
42% 26% 32%
Mossley Draw Nantwich Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Mossley 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWDLDDDWDL
Nantwich Town 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLLWLWDWDD
Head-to-head
Mossley 1–1–0 Nantwich Town (2 last)
  • Mossley1-1Nantwich Town
  • Mossley1-0Nantwich Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mossley 1531 · Nantwich Town 1491
MossleyDrawNantwich Town
Our model42%26%32%
Market42%25%32%
Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mossley (rating 1531 vs 1491).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MossleyNantwich Town
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.22 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.30.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/56/11%22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.61.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.33.4 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mossley 110 Nantwich Town

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/04/26
England Northern League Division One
Mossley1-1
HT 1-0
Nantwich Town
26/10/24
England Northern League Division One
Mossley1-0
HT 1-0
Nantwich Town

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMossleyNantwich Town
Vauxhall Motors 1-2 L 3-3 D
Shifnal Town 1-1 D 2-0 W
Stalybridge 0-0 D 2-3 L
Bury 1-2 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mossley

WWDLDDDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/08 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
1-2 L
03/04 Nantwich Town
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 62 D
21/03 Newcastle Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 3-2 63 W
07/03 Shifnal Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 1-1 72 D
07/02 Wythenshawe Town
England Northern League Division One
0-2 3-3 25 D
26/12 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 32 D
13/12 Bury
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 33 L
01/11 Stafford Rangers
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 33 D
28/10 Atherton Collieries
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-0 76 W
21/10 Bury
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-1 44 W

Nantwich Town

LLLWLWDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/08 Vauxhall Motors
England Northern League Division One
0-2 3-3 46 D
18/08 Chasetown
England Northern League Division One
2-2 D
14/04 Darlaston Town 1874
England Northern League Division One
2-1 5-1 53 W
03/04 Mossley
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-1 32 D
25/03 Shifnal Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 2-0 52 W
17/02 Clitheroe
England Northern League Division One
1-1 1-2 23 L
13/01 Kidsgrove Ath
England Northern League Division One
1-0 3-1 65 W
09/12 Stalybridge
England Northern League Division One
1-1 2-3 35 L
18/11 Runcorn Linnets
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-2 24 L
11/11 Bury
England Northern League Division One
0-2 1-4 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mossley vs Nantwich Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mossley win (42%). Probabilities: Mossley 42%, draw 26%, Nantwich Town 32%.

How many goals are expected in Mossley vs Nantwich Town?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Mossley 1.65 · Nantwich Town 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mossley vs Nantwich Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.