Football · England Northern League Division One · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Loughborough University vs Corby

Team pages: Loughborough University

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Loughborough University1.43

Corby1.31

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Loughborough University Draw Corby

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Loughborough University 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWWDLL

Corby 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDDDWDL

Head-to-head

Loughborough University 1–2–0 Corby (3 last)

Corby1-1Loughborough University
Loughborough University3-1Corby
Corby1-1Loughborough University

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loughborough University 1517 · Corby 1497

	Loughborough University	Draw	Corby
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loughborough University	Corby
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +39’	2.25	3.50	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Loughborough University 1–2–0 Corby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/10/25 England Northern League Division One	Corby	1-1 HT 0-1	Loughborough University
14/12/24 England Northern League Division One	Loughborough University	3-1 HT 0-1	Corby
02/10/24 England Northern League Division One	Corby	1-1 HT 0-0	Loughborough University

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loughborough University	Corby
Belper Town	0-0 D	2-1 W
Shepshed Dynamo	2-0 W	1-0 W
Coleshill Town	3-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Loughborough University (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loughborough University

LDWDWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Grantham England Northern League Division One	0-3	2-4	9	6	L
18/08	Sutton Coldfield England Northern League Division One	–	2-3	–	–	L
11/08	Belper Town England Northern League Division One	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
06/04	Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
04/04	Rugby Borough England Northern League Division One	0-0	1-0	1	3	W
21/03	AFC Rushden & Diamonds England Northern League Division One	1-0	3-0	13	6	W
21/02	Anstey Nomads England Northern League Division One	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
03/02	Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
10/01	Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One	1-1	1-1	2	0	D
01/01	Mickleover Sports England Northern League Division One	1-0	2-3	6	3	L

Corby

DWWLDDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Boston Town England Northern League Division One	–	1-3	–	–	L
25/03	Racing Club Warwick England Northern League Division One	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
18/03	Shepshed Dynamo England Northern League Division One	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
11/03	Wellingborough Town England Northern League Division One	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
04/03	Coleshill Town England Northern League Division One	0-1	2-2	7	1	D
04/02	Boldmere St Michaels England Northern League Division One	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
18/11	Basford Utd England Northern League Division One	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
29/10	Belper Town England Northern League Division One	0-1	2-1	3	2	W
22/10	Lichfield City England Northern League Division One	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
15/10	Loughborough University England Northern League Division One	0-1	1-1	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loughborough University vs Corby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loughborough University win (39%). Probabilities: Loughborough University 39%, draw 27%, Corby 34%.

How many goals are expected in Loughborough University vs Corby?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Loughborough University 1.43 · Corby 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Loughborough University vs Corby?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.