Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 01/11, 14:00

Prediction: Ethnikos OFPF vs Ionikos Nikaia

Team pages: Ethnikos OFPF · Ionikos Nikaia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Ethnikos OFPF1.46
Ionikos Nikaia0.5
1X2
61% 26% 13%
Ethnikos OFPF Draw Ionikos Nikaia
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Ethnikos OFPF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWLWDLLL
Ionikos Nikaia 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDWLDLDLWL
Head-to-head
Ethnikos OFPF 1–1–1 Ionikos Nikaia (3 last)
  • Ethnikos OFPF1-1Ionikos Nikaia
  • Ethnikos OFPF2-0Ionikos Nikaia
  • Ionikos Nikaia3-1Ethnikos OFPF
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ethnikos OFPF 1487 · Ionikos Nikaia 1465
Ethnikos OFPFDrawIonikos Nikaia
Our model60%28%12%
Market62%24%14%
Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ethnikos OFPFIonikos Nikaia
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 10.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%13/50/38%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.41.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.1 / 0.35.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ethnikos OFPF 1–1–1 Ionikos Nikaia

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/04/26
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Ethnikos OFPF1-1Ionikos Nikaia
13/12/25
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Ethnikos OFPF2-0
HT 0-0
Ionikos Nikaia
28/09/25
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Ionikos Nikaia3-1
HT 3-0
Ethnikos OFPF

Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 8

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Egaleo 5500 10115
2 Doxa Vyrona 5500 7015
3 Apollon Smyrnis 5401 8412
4 AER Afantou 5320 3011
5 Diagoras 5212 537
6 Ethnikos OFPF 5113 464
7 Ionikos Nikaia 5113 244
7 Proodeftiki 5113 244
9 Pao Rouf 5113 264
10 Amfiali 5113 284
11 Ialysos 5104 253
12 Apollon Kalithion FC 5104 283

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ethnikos OFPF

DLLWLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Apollon Smyrnis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-2 2-3 95 L
18/10 Doxa Vyrona
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 76 L
11/10 Egaleo
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 Amfiali
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 1-1 67 D
27/09 Pao Rouf
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 210 W
17/05 Zakynthos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-2 –– L
13/05 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 17 W
10/05 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-1 410 L
03/05 Zakynthos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 08 L
29/04 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 66 D

Ionikos Nikaia

DDWLDLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Ialysos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-1 36 L
17/10 Apollon Kalithion FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 25 W
11/10 Proodeftiki
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-2 48 L
04/10 Diagoras
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 –– D
27/09 AER Afantou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 08 L
08/04 Ethnikos OFPF
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-1 –– D
05/04 Thyella Rafinas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-2 54 L
01/04 Mykonos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 2-1 –– W
28/03 Saronikos Anavyssou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 1-1 124 D
22/03 Kyanos Astir Varis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-1 95 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ethnikos OFPF vs Ionikos Nikaia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ethnikos OFPF win (61%). Probabilities: Ethnikos OFPF 61%, draw 26%, Ionikos Nikaia 13%.

How many goals are expected in Ethnikos OFPF vs Ionikos Nikaia?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Ethnikos OFPF 1.46 · Ionikos Nikaia 0.5), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Ethnikos OFPF vs Ionikos Nikaia?

The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.