Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Iraklis Thermaikou vs Posidonas Neas Michanionas

Team pages: Iraklis Thermaikou · Posidonas Neas Michanionas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Iraklis Thermaikou1.17

Posidonas Neas Michanionas1

1X2

39% 30% 30%

Iraklis Thermaikou Draw Posidonas Neas Michanionas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Iraklis Thermaikou 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWDWDD

Posidonas Neas Michanionas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Iraklis Thermaikou 1–2–0 Posidonas Neas Michanionas (3 last)

Iraklis Thermaikou2-1Posidonas Neas Michanionas
Iraklis Thermaikou0-0Posidonas Neas Michanionas
Posidonas Neas Michanionas1-1Iraklis Thermaikou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Iraklis Thermaikou 1558 · Posidonas Neas Michanionas 1514

	Iraklis Thermaikou	Draw	Posidonas Neas Michanionas
Our model	39%	32%	30%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iraklis Thermaikou (rating 1558 vs 1514).
Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Iraklis Thermaikou	Posidonas Neas Michanionas
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.2	1.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/100/0%	67/17/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.8	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.5	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +59’	2.25	3.10	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Iraklis Thermaikou 1–2–0 Posidonas Neas Michanionas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Greece Gamma Ethniki	Iraklis Thermaikou	2-1	Posidonas Neas Michanionas
07/02/26 Greece Gamma Ethniki	Iraklis Thermaikou	0-0	Posidonas Neas Michanionas
09/11/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki	Posidonas Neas Michanionas	1-1 HT 0-1	Iraklis Thermaikou

Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Finikas Polichnis	6	5	0	1	12	8	15
2	Posidonas Neas Michanionas	6	4	1	1	13	6	13
3	Asteras Agiou Nikolaou	5	3	1	1	7	3	10
4	Iraklis Thermaikou	6	2	4	0	4	1	10
5	MPAM FC	6	2	3	1	13	10	9
6	PAOK Kristonis	5	2	1	2	4	8	7
7	Akrites Sykeon	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
8	Makedonikos	6	1	3	2	7	8	6
9	Polykastro	5	1	0	4	3	6	3
10	Kilkisiakos	5	0	2	3	7	11	2
11	PAS Panedessaikos	5	0	1	4	2	9	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Iraklis Thermaikou	Posidonas Neas Michanionas
Makedonikos	0-0 D	2-2 D
Kilkisiakos	0-0 D	2-1 W
Akrites Sykeon	1-0 W	2-0 W
PAOK Kristonis	0-0 D	5-1 W
Doxa Drama	2-0 W	2-3 L
Aetos Orfanou	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Posidonas Neas Michanionas (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Iraklis Thermaikou

WWWDDWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Makedonikos Greece Gamma Ethniki	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
24/10	Kilkisiakos Greece Gamma Ethniki	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
18/10	Akrites Sykeon Greece Gamma Ethniki	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
11/10	PAOK Kristonis Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/10	PAS Panedessaikos Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	2-0	2	6	W
27/09	Agios Nikolaos Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	1-1	–	–	D
08/04	Xanthi Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/04	Doxa Drama Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	2-0	–	–	W
01/04	Posidonas Neas Michanionas Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/03	Aetos Orfanou Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	2-0	–	–	W

Posidonas Neas Michanionas

LLWLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	MPAM FC Greece Gamma Ethniki	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
24/10	Finikas Polichnis Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	Makedonikos Greece Gamma Ethniki	1-0	2-2	4	0	D
11/10	Kilkisiakos Greece Gamma Ethniki	2-1	2-1	8	8	W
03/10	Akrites Sykeon Greece Gamma Ethniki	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
27/09	PAOK Kristonis Greece Gamma Ethniki	1-0	5-1	0	9	W
08/04	Doxa Drama Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	2-3	–	–	L
05/04	Aetos Orfanou Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	2-1	–	–	W
01/04	Iraklis Thermaikou Greece Gamma Ethniki	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	Panthrakikos Greece Gamma Ethniki	1-5	1-6	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Iraklis Thermaikou vs Posidonas Neas Michanionas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Iraklis Thermaikou win (39%). Probabilities: Iraklis Thermaikou 39%, draw 30%, Posidonas Neas Michanionas 30%.

How many goals are expected in Iraklis Thermaikou vs Posidonas Neas Michanionas?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Iraklis Thermaikou 1.17 · Posidonas Neas Michanionas 1), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Iraklis Thermaikou vs Posidonas Neas Michanionas?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.