Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Asteras Stavrou vs Lamia

Team pages: Lamia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Asteras Stavrou1.19
Lamia0.99
1X2
40% 31% 30%
Asteras Stavrou Draw Lamia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Asteras Stavrou 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLDLLLLWW
Lamia 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DDWDWWLWWD
Head-to-head
Asteras Stavrou 0–2–1 Lamia (3 last)
  • Asteras Stavrou0-0Lamia
  • Lamia1-1Asteras Stavrou
  • Asteras Stavrou0-2Lamia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Asteras Stavrou 1477 · Lamia 1556
Asteras StavrouDrawLamia
Our model39%32%29%
Market40%30%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lamia (rating 1477 vs 1556).
  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Asteras StavrouLamia
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.51.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 00.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/75/0%43/57/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.31.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.56 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Asteras Stavrou 0–2–1 Lamia

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Asteras Stavrou0-0
HT 0-0
Lamia
15/02/26
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Lamia1-1
HT 0-1
Asteras Stavrou
23/11/25
Greece Gamma Ethniki
Asteras Stavrou0-2
HT 0-1
Lamia

Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 5

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 AO Karystou 6402 10412
2 Diagoras Agias Paraskeuis 6330 4012
3 Kifissos 6321 13911
4 Lamia 5311 9610
5 AON Artaki 5221 528
6 Anagennisi Schimatariou 5221 648
7 Fokikos 6141 897
8 Asteras Stavrou 5203 686
9 Taminaikos Aliveriou 5113 584
10 Thiva 5104 4113
11 AO Agrafon 6015 3121

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAsteras StavrouLamia
Taminaikos Aliveriou 3-1 W 2-4 L
AO Agrafon 2-1 W 1-0 W
Po Elassonas 1-2 L 1-1 D
Tilikratis 2-2 D 1-0 W
Aris Filiaton 0-3 L 0-0 D
Trikala 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Lamia (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Asteras Stavrou

WDLDLLLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Taminaikos Aliveriou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 3-1 –– W
18/10 AO Agrafon
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 2-1 –– W
11/10 AO Karystou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 0-2 –– L
04/10 Diagoras Agias Paraskeuis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 44 L
27/09 Kifissos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-3 –– L
08/04 Po Elassonas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-2 –– L
05/04 Tilikratis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-2 46 D
01/04 Aris Filiaton
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-3 77 L
28/03 Lamia
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 28 D
22/03 Trikala
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-0 –– W

Lamia

DDWDWWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 AON Artaki
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 27 D
25/10 Anagennisi Schimatariou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 2-1 –– W
18/10 Fokikos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 4-1 45 W
11/10 Taminaikos Aliveriou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 2-4 68 L
27/09 AO Agrafon
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 38 W
08/04 Trikala
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 1-0 28 W
05/04 Po Elassonas
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-1 –– D
01/04 Tilikratis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-0 –– W
28/03 Asteras Stavrou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 38 D
22/03 Aris Filiaton
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 42 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Asteras Stavrou vs Lamia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Asteras Stavrou win (40%). Probabilities: Asteras Stavrou 40%, draw 31%, Lamia 30%.

How many goals are expected in Asteras Stavrou vs Lamia?

The model expects 2.19 goals (Asteras Stavrou 1.19 · Lamia 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Asteras Stavrou vs Lamia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.