Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: Ethnikos OFPF vs AER Afantou

Team pages: Ethnikos OFPF · AER Afantou

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.96Total
Ethnikos OFPF1.3
AER Afantou0.66
1X2
51% 30% 18%
Ethnikos OFPF Draw AER Afantou
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Ethnikos OFPF 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLWDLLLW
AER Afantou 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLLDWDWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ethnikos OFPF 1475 · AER Afantou 1511
Ethnikos OFPFDrawAER Afantou
Our model51%31%18%
Market52%30%19%
Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ethnikos OFPFAER Afantou
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 11.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)38/38/25%25/38/38%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.12 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.4 / 0.35.3 / 0.1

Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 8

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Egaleo 6510 12316
2 Doxa Vyrona 6510 9216
3 Apollon Smyrnis 6501 12515
4 AER Afantou 6420 5014
5 Diagoras 6312 7310
6 Ethnikos OFPF 6213 667
7 Pao Rouf 6213 467
8 Ionikos Nikaia 6114 264
8 Proodeftiki 6114 264
10 Amfiali 6114 3124
11 Ialysos 6105 273
12 Apollon Kalithion FC 6105 2103

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEthnikos OFPFAER Afantou
Ionikos Nikaia 2-0 W 1-0 W
Pao Rouf 1-0 W 0-0 D
Aris Petroupolis 0-1 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ethnikos OFPF (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ethnikos OFPF

LLWLWDLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Ionikos Nikaia
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 48 W
25/10 Apollon Smyrnis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-2 2-3 95 L
18/10 Doxa Vyrona
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 76 L
11/10 Egaleo
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 Amfiali
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 1-1 67 D
27/09 Pao Rouf
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 210 W
17/05 Zakynthos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-2 –– L
13/05 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 17 W
10/05 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-1 410 L
03/05 Zakynthos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 08 L

AER Afantou

LLLDWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Ialysos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 –– W
24/10 Apollon Kalithion FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 1-0 48 W
18/10 Proodeftiki
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 67 D
11/10 Diagoras
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-0 –– W
04/10 Pao Rouf
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 75 D
27/09 Ionikos Nikaia
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 48 W
08/04 AO Mikrasiatikos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 1-1 73 D
05/04 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-3 2-4 34 L
02/04 AON Artaki
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-2 2-4 13 L
28/03 AO Karystou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-3 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ethnikos OFPF vs AER Afantou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ethnikos OFPF win (51%). Probabilities: Ethnikos OFPF 51%, draw 30%, AER Afantou 18%.

How many goals are expected in Ethnikos OFPF vs AER Afantou?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Ethnikos OFPF 1.3 · AER Afantou 0.66), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ethnikos OFPF vs AER Afantou?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.