Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 11/10, 15:00
Prediction: Trikala vs AS Sarakinos
Team pages: Trikala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Trikala1.52
AS Sarakinos0.59
1X2
Trikala
Draw
AS Sarakinos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Trikala
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
AS Sarakinos
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trikala 1523 · AS Sarakinos 1541
| Trikala | Draw | AS Sarakinos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 28% | 13% |
| Market | 61% | 24% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trikala | AS Sarakinos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 17/67/17% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 5 / 6.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0 |
Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Po Elassonas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Pierikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Karitsa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Trikala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | AO Anthoupolis Larisas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Ermis Exochis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Digenis Neochoriou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AS Sarakinos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Rigas Feraios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | Iraklis Larisas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trikala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Iraklis Larisas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Rigas Feraios Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/04 | Lamia Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 05/04 | Aris Filiaton Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 01/04 | Po Elassonas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Tilikratis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | Asteras Stavrou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/03 | Aen Selefkeias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/02 | Proodos Rogon 1966 Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 15/02 | Tilikratis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
AS Sarakinos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Pierikos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Karitsa Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/04 | AEP Kozani Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Eordaikos 2007 Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/04 | AE Evosmou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | Akrites Sykeon Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Asteras Karditsas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
2-0 | 6-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/03 | AE Evosmou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 21/02 | Asteras Karditsas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/02 | Apollon Kalamarias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trikala vs AS Sarakinos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trikala win (60%). Probabilities: Trikala 60%, draw 26%, AS Sarakinos 14%.
How many goals are expected in Trikala vs AS Sarakinos?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Trikala 1.52 · AS Sarakinos 0.59), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trikala vs AS Sarakinos?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.