Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Ethnikos OFPF vs Doxa Vyrona

Team pages: Doxa Vyrona

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Ethnikos OFPF1.04
Doxa Vyrona0.68
1X2
44% 32% 24%
Ethnikos OFPF Draw Doxa Vyrona
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52% Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Ethnikos OFPF 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDDLLWLWDL
Doxa Vyrona 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWDDWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ethnikos OFPF 1521 · Doxa Vyrona 1595
Ethnikos OFPFDrawDoxa Vyrona
Our model42%36%22%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Doxa Vyrona (rating 1521 vs 1595).
  • Cards-heavy: 12.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ethnikos OFPFDoxa Vyrona
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 0.71.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.10.8 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/57/14%38/63/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.61.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)7.9 / 0.34.8 / 0.7

Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 8

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Egaleo 3300 619
2 Doxa Vyrona 3300 409
3 AER Afantou 3210 207
4 Apollon Smyrnis 3201 316
5 Pao Rouf 3111 214
6 Ethnikos OFPF 3111 224
7 Amfiali 3111 234
7 Ionikos Nikaia 4112 234
9 Proodeftiki 3102 233
10 Apollon Kalithion FC 4103 273
11 Diagoras 3012 031
12 Ialysos 3003 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ethnikos OFPF

DDDLLWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Egaleo
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 0-1 –– L
04/10 Amfiali
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 1-1 67 D
27/09 Pao Rouf
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 210 W
17/05 Zakynthos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-2 –– L
13/05 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
1-0 2-0 17 W
10/05 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-1 0-1 410 L
03/05 Zakynthos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-1 08 L
29/04 Pyrgos AFC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 66 D
26/04 Aris Petroupolis
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 69 D
08/04 Ionikos Nikaia
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 1-1 –– D

Doxa Vyrona

DWWWDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Ialysos
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 29 W
04/10 Apollon Kalithion FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 46 W
27/09 Proodeftiki
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 2-0 23 W
08/04 Amarinthiakos FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 2-0 –– W
01/04 Apollon Kalithion FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 0-0 –– D
28/03 Kentavros Vrilission
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-1 09 D
22/03 AO Neas Ionias
Greece Gamma Ethniki
0-0 1-0 46 W
01/03 AER Afantou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 4-1 –– W
21/02 Amarinthiakos FC
Greece Gamma Ethniki
2-0 7-2 80 W
15/02 AO Karystou
Greece Gamma Ethniki
– 0-0 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ethnikos OFPF vs Doxa Vyrona?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ethnikos OFPF win (44%). Probabilities: Ethnikos OFPF 44%, draw 32%, Doxa Vyrona 24%.

How many goals are expected in Ethnikos OFPF vs Doxa Vyrona?

The model expects 1.72 goals (Ethnikos OFPF 1.04 · Doxa Vyrona 0.68), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ethnikos OFPF vs Doxa Vyrona?

The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.