Football · Greece Gamma Ethniki · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Thyella Rafinas vs Kyanos Astir Varis
Team pages: Thyella Rafinas · Kyanos Astir Varis
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Thyella Rafinas1.21
Kyanos Astir Varis1.04
1X2
Thyella Rafinas
Draw
Kyanos Astir Varis
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Thyella Rafinas
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Kyanos Astir Varis
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Thyella Rafinas
1–3–2
Kyanos Astir Varis
(6 last)
- Thyella Rafinas1-1Kyanos Astir Varis
- Thyella Rafinas2-1Kyanos Astir Varis
- Kyanos Astir Varis4-2Thyella Rafinas
- Kyanos Astir Varis0-0Thyella Rafinas
- Thyella Rafinas1-2Kyanos Astir Varis
- Thyella Rafinas0-0Kyanos Astir Varis
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thyella Rafinas 1517 · Kyanos Astir Varis 1496
| Thyella Rafinas | Draw | Kyanos Astir Varis | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kyanos Astir Varis: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thyella Rafinas | Kyanos Astir Varis | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/38/25% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thyella Rafinas 1–3–2 Kyanos Astir Varis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Thyella Rafinas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Kyanos Astir Varis |
| 14/12/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Thyella Rafinas | 2-1 | Kyanos Astir Varis |
| 28/09/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Kyanos Astir Varis | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Thyella Rafinas |
| 01/03/25 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Kyanos Astir Varis | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Thyella Rafinas |
| 16/11/24 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Thyella Rafinas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Kyanos Astir Varis |
| 04/02/24 Greece Gamma Ethniki | Thyella Rafinas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kyanos Astir Varis |
Standings · Greece Gamma Ethniki · Gamma Ethniki 26/27, Group 9
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ilisiakos | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Mykonos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | AO Pannaxiakos Naxos | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Thyella Rafinas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Asteras Magoulas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Kyanos Astir Varis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | AO Neas Ionias | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Saronikos Anavyssou | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Ilioupoli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ethnikos Asteras | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 | AO Neos Acharnaikos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thyella Rafinas | Kyanos Astir Varis |
|---|---|---|
| Ilioupoli | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Mykonos | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Ionikos Nikaia | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Saronikos Anavyssou | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Ethnikos OFPF | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thyella Rafinas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ilioupoli Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | AO Neas Ionias Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/04 | Mykonos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | Ionikos Nikaia Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/04 | Saronikos Anavyssou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Kyanos Astir Varis Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Ethnikos OFPF Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Aias Salaminas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Granitis Agias Marinas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/02 | AO Giouchtas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
Kyanos Astir Varis
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Saronikos Anavyssou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | Ilioupoli Greece Gamma Ethniki |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Ilisiakos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/04 | Saronikos Anavyssou Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 05/04 | Mykonos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/04 | Ethnikos OFPF Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 28/03 | Thyella Rafinas Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Ionikos Nikaia Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/03 | Ionikos Nikaia Greece Gamma Ethniki |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/02 | Mykonos Greece Gamma Ethniki |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thyella Rafinas vs Kyanos Astir Varis?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thyella Rafinas win (39%). Probabilities: Thyella Rafinas 39%, draw 31%, Kyanos Astir Varis 31%.
How many goals are expected in Thyella Rafinas vs Kyanos Astir Varis?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Thyella Rafinas 1.21 · Kyanos Astir Varis 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Thyella Rafinas vs Kyanos Astir Varis?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.