Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 24/10, 17:55
Prediction: Al Safa vs Al Ain FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Al Safa1.31
Al Ain FC1.74
1X2
Al Safa
Draw
Al Ain FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Safa
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Al Ain FC
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Safa
0–1–3
Al Ain FC
(4 last)
- Al Ain FC3-2Al Safa
- Al Safa0-3Al Ain FC
- Al Safa0-0Al Ain FC
- Al Ain FC4-1Al Safa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Safa 1481 · Al Ain FC 1544
| Al Safa | Draw | Al Ain FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ain FC (rating 1481 vs 1544).
- H2H favours Al Ain FC: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Safa | Al Ain FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 4.5 | 5 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Safa 0–1–3 Al Ain FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/25 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Ain FC | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Al Safa |
| 25/08/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Safa | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Al Ain FC |
| 26/02/24 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Safa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ain FC |
| 20/09/23 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Ain FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Al Safa |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Weg Taif SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Arar FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Baish | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Safa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Taraji | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Batin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 8 | Afif | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Qwarah | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Sahel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Qala'a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Ain FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Hottain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Mudhar FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Nairyah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Al-Qotah | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Safa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Afif Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/04 | Al Kawkab Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/04 | Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/03 | Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/03 | Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/03 | Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/02 | Hottain Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/02 | Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/02 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/02 | Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-6 | – | – | L |
Al Ain FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 16/04 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Al Washm Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Al Taraji Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 4-4 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Tuwaiq FC Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/03 | Al-Rawdhah Club Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Al Shoalah Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/02 | Al Najoom Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Al Sharq Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 16/02 | Jerash Saudi Arabia Division 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Safa vs Al Ain FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Ain FC win (46%). Probabilities: Al Safa 27%, draw 26%, Al Ain FC 46%.
How many goals are expected in Al Safa vs Al Ain FC?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Al Safa 1.31 · Al Ain FC 1.74), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Safa vs Al Ain FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.