Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 02/11, 13:35

Prediction: Hottain vs Al-Qotah

Team pages: Al-Qotah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Hottain1.61

Al-Qotah1.22

1X2

45% 27% 28%

Hottain Draw Al-Qotah

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hottain 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWDL

Al-Qotah 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWDWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

Hottain 1–1 Al-Qotah (2 last)

Al-Qotah4-2Hottain
Hottain1-0Al-Qotah

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hottain 1471 · Al-Qotah 1443

	Hottain	Draw	Al-Qotah
Our model	45%	27%	28%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hottain	Al-Qotah
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2	0.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	3.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:42 +3’	2.00	3.30	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hottain 1–0–1 Al-Qotah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Al-Qotah	4-2	Hottain
17/11/25 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Hottain	1-0	Al-Qotah

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weg Taif SC	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
2	Baish	3	3	0	0	7	4	9
3	Al Sahel	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	Al Taraji	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
5	Al Qala'a	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
6	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
7	Al Qwarah	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
8	Arar FC	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	Afif	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
10	Al Ain FC	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
11	Al Safa	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
12	Al Batin	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
13	Mudhar FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
14	Al Nairyah	3	0	1	2	5	7	1
15	Al-Qotah	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
16	Hottain	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hottain	Al-Qotah
Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	1-3 L	1-3 L
Al Nairyah	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hottain (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hottain

WLLWLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Baish Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/04	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/04	Ohod Madinah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
27/03	Bisha FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/03	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
06/03	Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-4	–	–	L
28/02	Al Safa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/02	Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
17/02	Al-Qotah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-4	–	–	L
12/02	Al Qala'a Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	2	W

Al-Qotah

LWDWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Al-Sahel Club Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
28/10	Al Sahel Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
23/10	Al Taraji Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	2-2	2	5	D
09/10	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
07/04	Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-3	–	–	L
03/04	Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-2	1-3	2	4	L
27/03	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	6-4	–	–	W
13/03	Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/03	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
28/02	Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hottain vs Al-Qotah?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hottain win (45%). Probabilities: Hottain 45%, draw 27%, Al-Qotah 28%.

How many goals are expected in Hottain vs Al-Qotah?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Hottain 1.61 · Al-Qotah 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hottain vs Al-Qotah?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.