Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 02/11, 12:55

Prediction: Al Safa vs Weg Taif SC

Team pages: Al Safa · Weg Taif SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Al Safa1.09

Weg Taif SC1.46

1X2

27% 28% 45%

Al Safa Draw Weg Taif SC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Safa 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWDWLL

Weg Taif SC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDWDWW

Head-to-head

Al Safa 1–1 Weg Taif SC (2 last)

Weg Taif SC1-0Al Safa
Al Safa2-1Weg Taif SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Safa 1461 · Weg Taif SC 1510

	Al Safa	Draw	Weg Taif SC
Our model	27%	29%	44%
Market	28%	27%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weg Taif SC (rating 1461 vs 1510).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Safa	Weg Taif SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	1.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/0/67%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.3	3.7 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.30

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:33 +11’	3.25	3.30	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Safa 1–0–1 Weg Taif SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/01/26 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Weg Taif SC	1-0	Al Safa
18/10/25 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Al Safa	2-1	Weg Taif SC

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weg Taif SC	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
2	Baish	3	3	0	0	7	4	9
3	Al Sahel	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	Al Taraji	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
5	Al Qala'a	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
6	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
7	Al Qwarah	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
8	Arar FC	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	Afif	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
10	Al Ain FC	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
11	Al Safa	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
12	Al Batin	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
13	Mudhar FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
14	Al Nairyah	3	0	1	2	5	7	1
15	Al-Qotah	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
16	Hottain	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Safa	Weg Taif SC
Mudhar FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Arar FC	2-1 W	2-0 W
Hottain	1-2 L	0-0 D
Al Lewaa	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Weg Taif SC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Safa

LLWLDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Al Qwarah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
24/10	Al Ain FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
09/10	Afif Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
09/04	Al Kawkab Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-1	2-2	4	2	D
03/04	Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/03	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
13/03	Al-Saqer FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
06/03	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/02	Hottain Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
22/02	Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

Weg Taif SC

LLDLLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-1	2-1	8	6	W
23/10	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
16/10	Al Sahel Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
09/10	Al Nairyah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
09/04	Hottain Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
03/04	Al Qala'a Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
27/03	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-2	3-4	8	8	L
13/03	Bisha FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/03	Ohod Madinah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
28/02	Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Safa vs Weg Taif SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Weg Taif SC win (45%). Probabilities: Al Safa 27%, draw 28%, Weg Taif SC 45%.

How many goals are expected in Al Safa vs Weg Taif SC?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Al Safa 1.09 · Weg Taif SC 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Safa vs Weg Taif SC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.