Football · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · 02/11, 13:30

Prediction: Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah vs Al Qala'a

Team pages: Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah1.48

Al Qala'a1.38

1X2

39% 27% 34%

Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Draw Al Qala'a

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWLD

Al Qala'a 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDWLWW

Head-to-head

Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah 1–1–0 Al Qala'a (2 last)

Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah1-0Al Qala'a
Al Qala'a1-1Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah 1566 · Al Qala'a 1483

	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	Draw	Al Qala'a
Our model	39%	27%	34%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah (rating 1566 vs 1483).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	Al Qala'a
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 3.5	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.40

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:52 +6’	2.30	3.40	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah 1–1–0 Al Qala'a

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	1-0 HT 1-0	Al Qala'a
06/12/25 Saudi Arabia Division 2	Al Qala'a	1-1 HT 1-0	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah

Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 2 · Second Division 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Weg Taif SC	4	3	1	0	7	3	10
2	Baish	3	3	0	0	7	4	9
3	Al Sahel	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
4	Al Taraji	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
5	Al Qala'a	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
6	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
7	Al Qwarah	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
8	Arar FC	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
9	Afif	4	1	1	2	4	5	4
10	Al Ain FC	2	1	0	1	3	1	3
11	Al Safa	3	1	0	2	2	7	3
12	Al Batin	3	0	2	1	1	4	2
13	Mudhar FC	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
14	Al Nairyah	3	0	1	2	5	7	1
15	Al-Qotah	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
16	Hottain	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah	Al Qala'a
Arar FC	2-2 D	0-3 L
Hajer	3-2 W	1-2 L
Weg Taif SC	4-3 W	1-0 W
Al Qous	3-1 W	1-2 L
Mudhar FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah

LWWWWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
23/10	Al Sahel Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
09/10	Al-Qotah Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
09/04	Bisha FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/04	Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
27/03	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-2	4-3	3	8	W
13/03	Hottain Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/03	Al Qala'a Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/02	Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
22/02	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L

Al Qala'a

LLDLDDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Al Batin Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
23/10	Al Qwarah Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
09/04	Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
03/04	Weg Taif SC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
27/03	Ohod Madinah Saudi Arabia Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
13/03	Al Lewaa Saudi Arabia Division 2	2-1	2-2	2	4	D
06/03	Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah Saudi Arabia Division 2	0-1	0-1	13	2	L
28/02	Mudhar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
22/02	Al Qous Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/02	Arar FC Saudi Arabia Division 2	–	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah vs Al Qala'a?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah win (39%). Probabilities: Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah 39%, draw 27%, Al Qala'a 34%.

How many goals are expected in Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah vs Al Qala'a?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah 1.48 · Al Qala'a 1.38), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Rayyan Ar Rawdah vs Al Qala'a?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.