Prediction: Garforth Town vs North Ferriby

Team pages: Garforth Town

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Garforth Town1.68
North Ferriby1.34
1X2
45% 26% 30%
Garforth Town Draw North Ferriby
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Garforth Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWLDLWD
North Ferriby 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLLDWD
Head-to-head
Garforth Town 0–1 North Ferriby (1 last)
  • North Ferriby2-0Garforth Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Garforth Town 1542 · North Ferriby 1479
Garforth TownDrawNorth Ferriby
Our model44%26%30%
Market45%26%30%
Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Garforth Town (rating 1542 vs 1479).
  • Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Garforth TownNorth Ferriby
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.31.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.40.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.32.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.11.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Garforth Town 001 North Ferriby

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/11/24
England Northern League Division One
North Ferriby2-0
HT 1-0
Garforth Town

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGarforth TownNorth Ferriby
Grimsby Borough 3-3 D 0-0 D
Lincoln Utd 1-1 D 2-0 W
Pontefract Collieries 0-2 L 1-3 L
Silsden 4-0 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Garforth Town

WWDWWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
1-3 3-3 34 D
24/02 Hallam
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-0 84 W
17/02 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-1 0-2 84 L
03/02 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-1 44 D
01/01 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-2 14 L
29/11 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-0 71 W
07/10 Bridlington Town
England Northern League Division One
0-0 3-0 51 W
30/09 Newton Aycliffe
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 102 D
13/09 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-1 41 W
02/09 Bishop Auckland
England Northern League Division One
2-0 4-2 32 W

North Ferriby

DDWDLLLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 West Auckland
England Northern League Division One
2-1 2-2 42 D
04/04 Heaton Stannington
England Northern League Division One
1-0 1-0 43 W
21/03 Consett
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 43 D
07/03 Pontefract Collieries
England Northern League Division One
0-1 1-3 20 L
10/02 Dunston UTS
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-1 60 L
17/01 Blyth Town
England Northern League Division One
0-2 0-4 21 L
01/01 Grimsby Borough
England Northern League Division One
0-0 0-0 53 D
29/12 Lincoln Utd
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-0 70 W
20/12 Hallam FC
England Northern League Division One
1-2 2-2 74 D
13/12 Silsden
England Northern League Division One
1-0 2-2 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Garforth Town vs North Ferriby?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Garforth Town win (45%). Probabilities: Garforth Town 45%, draw 26%, North Ferriby 30%.

How many goals are expected in Garforth Town vs North Ferriby?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Garforth Town 1.68 · North Ferriby 1.34), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Garforth Town vs North Ferriby?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.