Football · Indonesia Championship · 12/09, 14:00
Prediction: PS Barito Putera vs Persipura Jayapura
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
PS Barito Putera1.23
Persipura Jayapura1.18
1X2
PS Barito Putera
Draw
Persipura Jayapura
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
PS Barito Putera
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Persipura Jayapura
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PS Barito Putera
2–1–3
Persipura Jayapura
(6 last)
- Persipura Jayapura4-1PS Barito Putera
- PS Barito Putera1-1Persipura Jayapura
- Persipura Jayapura1-0PS Barito Putera
- PS Barito Putera3-0Persipura Jayapura
- Persipura Jayapura0-1PS Barito Putera
- Persipura Jayapura1-0PS Barito Putera
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PS Barito Putera 1533 · Persipura Jayapura 1556
| PS Barito Putera | Draw | Persipura Jayapura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 30% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Persipura Jayapura: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PS Barito Putera | Persipura Jayapura | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 3.9 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PS Barito Putera 2–1–3 Persipura Jayapura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 4-1 HT 2-0 | PS Barito Putera |
| 17/01/26 Indonesia Championship | PS Barito Putera | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 25/10/25 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PS Barito Putera |
| 14/02/22 Indonesia Super League | PS Barito Putera | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 25/10/21 Indonesia Super League | Persipura Jayapura | 0-1 HT 0-0 | PS Barito Putera |
| 16/12/19 Indonesia Super League | Persipura Jayapura | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PS Barito Putera |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Barito Putera | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dejan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persis Solo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RANS Nusantara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Kendal Tornado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 6 | Persipura Jayapura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| 9 | Persiba Balikpapan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| 9 | PSBS Biak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PS Barito Putera | Persipura Jayapura |
|---|---|---|
| Persipal Palu | 8-3 W | 5-0 W |
| Persela Lamongan | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Persiba Balikpapan | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| PSS Sleman | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| PSIS Semarang | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Persiku Kudus | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Deltras Sidoarjo | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kendal Tornado | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 4 D 0 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Persipura Jayapura (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PS Barito Putera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
5-0 | 8-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 29/03 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/03 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 22/02 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/02 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/01 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
Persipura Jayapura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/03 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/02 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 13 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PS Barito Putera vs Persipura Jayapura?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PS Barito Putera win (36%). Probabilities: PS Barito Putera 36%, draw 30%, Persipura Jayapura 34%.
How many goals are expected in PS Barito Putera vs Persipura Jayapura?
The model expects 2.41 goals (PS Barito Putera 1.23 · Persipura Jayapura 1.18), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PS Barito Putera vs Persipura Jayapura?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.