Football · Indonesia Championship · 19/09, 10:30
Prediction: PSPS Pekanbaru vs Persiraja Aceh
Team pages: PSPS Pekanbaru
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
PSPS Pekanbaru1.82
Persiraja Aceh1.25
1X2
PSPS Pekanbaru
Draw
Persiraja Aceh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
PSPS Pekanbaru
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Persiraja Aceh
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSPS Pekanbaru
3–2–1
Persiraja Aceh
(6 last)
- Persiraja Aceh1-1PSPS Pekanbaru
- Persiraja Aceh4-2PSPS Pekanbaru
- PSPS Pekanbaru1-0Persiraja Aceh
- PSPS Pekanbaru1-0Persiraja Aceh
- Persiraja Aceh0-2PSPS Pekanbaru
- PSPS Pekanbaru1-1Persiraja Aceh
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSPS Pekanbaru 1527 · Persiraja Aceh 1493
| PSPS Pekanbaru | Draw | Persiraja Aceh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PSPS Pekanbaru: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSPS Pekanbaru | Persiraja Aceh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 2.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSPS Pekanbaru 3–2–1 Persiraja Aceh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Indonesia Championship | Persiraja Aceh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PSPS Pekanbaru |
| 31/01/26 Indonesia Championship | Persiraja Aceh | 4-2 HT 1-0 | PSPS Pekanbaru |
| 08/11/25 Indonesia Championship | PSPS Pekanbaru | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Persiraja Aceh |
| 11/02/25 Indonesia Championship | PSPS Pekanbaru | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Persiraja Aceh |
| 20/01/25 Indonesia Championship | Persiraja Aceh | 0-2 HT 0-0 | PSPS Pekanbaru |
| 11/01/25 Indonesia Championship | PSPS Pekanbaru | 1-1 | Persiraja Aceh |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persikad 1999 FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | PSIS Semarang | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Semen Padang | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | PSMS Medan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Bekasi City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | Sumsel United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | PSGC Ciamis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 7 | PSPS Pekanbaru | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 9 | Persiku Kudus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 | Persiraja Aceh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSPS Pekanbaru | Persiraja Aceh |
|---|---|---|
| Bekasi City | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Sumsel United | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Persekat Kabupaten Tegal | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Persikad 1999 FC | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Sriwijaya | 6-0 W | 2-1 W |
| PSMS Medan | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Garudayaksa | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Isenmulang Kalteng FC | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PSPS Pekanbaru (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSPS Pekanbaru
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Sumsel United Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Sriwijaya Indonesia Championship |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 28/02 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20/02 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/02 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Persiraja Aceh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Semen Padang Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Sumsel United Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Sriwijaya Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/02 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 22/02 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/02 | PSPS Pekanbaru Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSPS Pekanbaru vs Persiraja Aceh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSPS Pekanbaru win (50%). Probabilities: PSPS Pekanbaru 50%, draw 25%, Persiraja Aceh 25%.
How many goals are expected in PSPS Pekanbaru vs Persiraja Aceh?
The model expects 3.07 goals (PSPS Pekanbaru 1.82 · Persiraja Aceh 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PSPS Pekanbaru vs Persiraja Aceh?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.