Football · Indonesia Championship · 18/09, 10:30
Prediction: Persipura Jayapura vs Kendal Tornado
Team pages: Persipura Jayapura
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Persipura Jayapura1.35
Kendal Tornado1.11
1X2
Persipura Jayapura
Draw
Kendal Tornado
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Persipura Jayapura
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Kendal Tornado
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persipura Jayapura
0–3
Kendal Tornado
(3 last)
- Kendal Tornado2-1Persipura Jayapura
- Kendal Tornado1-0Persipura Jayapura
- Persipura Jayapura2-3Kendal Tornado
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Persipura Jayapura 1505 · Kendal Tornado 1571
| Persipura Jayapura | Draw | Kendal Tornado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kendal Tornado (rating 1505 vs 1571).
- H2H favours Kendal Tornado: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persipura Jayapura | Kendal Tornado | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.4 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persipura Jayapura 0–0–3 Kendal Tornado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Indonesia Championship | Kendal Tornado | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 22/11/25 Indonesia Championship | Kendal Tornado | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 28/09/25 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Kendal Tornado |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | PS Barito Putera | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | RANS Nusantara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Persela Lamongan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Kendal Tornado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Dejan FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | Persipura Jayapura | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
| 9 | Persiba Balikpapan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persipura Jayapura | Kendal Tornado |
|---|---|---|
| PS Barito Putera | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Persiku Kudus | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Persipal Palu | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| PSIS Semarang | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Persela Lamongan | 0-0 D | 5-0 W |
| Persiba Balikpapan | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Deltras Sidoarjo | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| PSS Sleman | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persipura Jayapura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/04 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/03 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/02 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Kendal Tornado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Dejan FC Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/03 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 22/02 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/02 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persipura Jayapura vs Kendal Tornado?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persipura Jayapura win (41%). Probabilities: Persipura Jayapura 41%, draw 29%, Kendal Tornado 30%.
How many goals are expected in Persipura Jayapura vs Kendal Tornado?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Persipura Jayapura 1.35 · Kendal Tornado 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Persipura Jayapura vs Kendal Tornado?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.