Football · Indonesia Championship · 23/10, 10:30
Prediction: Persipura Jayapura vs Persiba Balikpapan
Team pages: Persipura Jayapura · Persiba Balikpapan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Persipura Jayapura2.11
Persiba Balikpapan0.78
1X2
Persipura Jayapura
Draw
Persiba Balikpapan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Persipura Jayapura
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Persiba Balikpapan
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persipura Jayapura
4–2
Persiba Balikpapan
(6 last)
- Persiba Balikpapan0-1Persipura Jayapura
- Persiba Balikpapan1-2Persipura Jayapura
- Persipura Jayapura1-0Persiba Balikpapan
- Persiba Balikpapan3-1Persipura Jayapura
- Persiba Balikpapan2-1Persipura Jayapura
- Persipura Jayapura4-2Persiba Balikpapan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persipura Jayapura (rating 1551 vs 1406).
- H2H favours Persipura Jayapura: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persipura Jayapura | Persiba Balikpapan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.9 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persipura Jayapura 4–0–2 Persiba Balikpapan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Indonesia Championship | Persiba Balikpapan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 12/01/26 Indonesia Championship | Persiba Balikpapan | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 19/10/25 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Persiba Balikpapan |
| 18/11/23 Indonesia Championship | Persiba Balikpapan | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 03/09/22 Indonesia Championship | Persiba Balikpapan | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 17/09/17 Indonesia Super League | Persipura Jayapura | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Persiba Balikpapan |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Kendal Tornado | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | RANS Nusantara | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Persela Lamongan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | PS Barito Putera | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Persipura Jayapura | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 7 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | De Red FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 9 | Persiba Balikpapan | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -4 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 35 | -4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persipura Jayapura | Persiba Balikpapan |
|---|---|---|
| RANS Nusantara | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| De Red FC | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Kendal Tornado | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| PS Barito Putera | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Persipura Jayapura (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persipura Jayapura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/10 | De Red FC Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Persis Solo Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | PSIS Semarang Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
Persiba Balikpapan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/10 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/09 | De Red FC Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 19/09 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persipura Jayapura vs Persiba Balikpapan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persipura Jayapura win (67%). Probabilities: Persipura Jayapura 67%, draw 21%, Persiba Balikpapan 12%.
How many goals are expected in Persipura Jayapura vs Persiba Balikpapan?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Persipura Jayapura 2.11 · Persiba Balikpapan 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Persipura Jayapura vs Persiba Balikpapan?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.