Football · Indonesia Championship · 30/10, 09:30

Prediction: Persiku Kudus vs Persiraja Aceh

Team pages: Persiku Kudus · Persiraja Aceh

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Persiku Kudus1
Persiraja Aceh2.11
1X2
16% 22% 62%
Persiku Kudus Draw Persiraja Aceh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Persiku Kudus 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
DLLLDLLLLL
Persiraja Aceh 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDDLLLLWDW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Persiku Kudus 1401 · Persiraja Aceh 1482
Persiku KudusDrawPersiraja Aceh
Our model16%22%62%
Market16%21%62%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persiraja Aceh (rating 1401 vs 1482).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Persiku KudusPersiraja Aceh
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 2.91.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.60.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/30/70%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.41.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 04 / 0.3

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSPS Pekanbaru 7601 15818
2 PSMS Medan 7421 17614
3 Persikad 1999 FC 7403 111312
4 PSIS Semarang 7322 9710
5 Semen Padang 7322 8610
6 Sumsel United 7322 131010
7 PSGC Ciamis 7214 6117
8 Bekasi City 7133 766
9 Persiraja Aceh 7214 896
10 Persiku Kudus 7016 523-1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPersiku KudusPersiraja Aceh
Semen Padang 1-2 L 0-1 L
PSPS Pekanbaru 1-4 L 1-2 L
Sumsel United 1-5 L 1-2 L
PSGC Ciamis 1-2 L 2-1 W
PSMS Medan 0-6 L 1-1 D
Bekasi City 1-1 D 0-0 D
PSIS Semarang 3-3 D 3-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 2 D 5 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Persiraja Aceh (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Persiku Kudus

DLLLDLLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Semen Padang
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 79 L
18/10 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-1 1-4 –– L
10/10 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
1-1 1-5 20 L
03/10 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 35 L
20/09 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-5 0-6 00 L
12/09 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 36 D
03/05 Persipura Jayapura
Indonesia Championship
0-2 0-2 –– L
27/04 Deltras Sidoarjo
Indonesia Championship
1-1 1-2 84 L
20/04 PSS Sleman
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 12 L
11/04 PSIS Semarang
Indonesia Championship
0-2 3-3 –– D

Persiraja Aceh

DDDLLLLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
0-0 2-1 43 W
17/10 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-0 105 D
09/10 PSIS Semarang
Indonesia Championship
2-0 3-1 46 W
02/10 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 23 L
26/09 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-2 66 L
19/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
0-2 1-2 34 L
13/09 Semen Padang
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-1 53 L
02/05 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
26/04 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 –– D
19/04 Garudayaksa
Indonesia Championship
0-1 2-2 –– D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Persiku Kudus vs Persiraja Aceh?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Persiraja Aceh win (62%). Probabilities: Persiku Kudus 16%, draw 22%, Persiraja Aceh 62%.

How many goals are expected in Persiku Kudus vs Persiraja Aceh?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Persiku Kudus 1 · Persiraja Aceh 2.11), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Persiku Kudus vs Persiraja Aceh?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.