Football · Indonesia Championship · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Bekasi City vs Sumsel United

Team pages: Bekasi City · Sumsel United

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Bekasi City1.56
Sumsel United1.21
1X2
45% 27% 29%
Bekasi City Draw Sumsel United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bekasi City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWDLLLWD
Sumsel United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DDLWDLLWWW
Head-to-head
Bekasi City 1–1–1 Sumsel United (3 last)
  • Sumsel United1-1Bekasi City
  • Sumsel United2-1Bekasi City
  • Bekasi City1-0Sumsel United
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bekasi City 1482 · Sumsel United 1515
Bekasi CityDrawSumsel United
Our model44%27%28%
Market45%26%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bekasi CitySumsel United
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.21.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.23 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.34.1 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bekasi City 1–1–1 Sumsel United

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Indonesia Championship
Sumsel United1-1
HT 0-1
Bekasi City
29/12/25
Indonesia Championship
Sumsel United2-1
HT 0-0
Bekasi City
06/10/25
Indonesia Championship
Bekasi City1-0
HT 1-0
Sumsel United

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PSPS Pekanbaru 6501 12615
2 Persikad 1999 FC 6402 91012
3 PSMS Medan 6321 15511
4 PSIS Semarang 6321 8510
5 Sumsel United 6312 1299
6 Semen Padang 6222 657
7 PSGC Ciamis 6213 597
8 Bekasi City 6123 655
9 Persiraja Aceh 6114 683
10 Persiku Kudus 6015 421-1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBekasi CitySumsel United
Persiraja Aceh 0-0 D 2-1 W
PSGC Ciamis 4-0 W 0-2 L
PSMS Medan 0-1 L 2-2 D
Persikad 1999 FC 1-2 L 2-1 W
Persiku Kudus 1-1 D 5-1 W
PSPS Pekanbaru 3-2 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sumsel United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bekasi City

DWLWDLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Persiraja Aceh
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-0 65 D
10/10 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
2-0 4-0 115 W
03/10 PSIS Semarang
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-1 54 L
27/09 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-1 14 L
18/09 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-2 44 L
12/09 Persiku Kudus
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 66 D
02/05 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-1 3-2 –– W
25/04 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-3 2-3 26 L
18/04 Isenmulang Kalteng FC
Indonesia Championship
2-0 3-1 16 W
12/04 Sumsel United
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 28 D

Sumsel United

DDLWDLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/10 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-1 36 W
10/10 Persiku Kudus
Indonesia Championship
1-1 5-1 80 W
02/10 Persiraja Aceh
Indonesia Championship
1-0 2-1 43 W
26/09 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-2 36 L
19/09 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Championship
0-1 0-2 75 L
13/09 PSMS Medan
Indonesia Championship
0-2 2-2 95 D
02/05 Persekat Kabupaten Tegal
Indonesia Championship
2-1 3-1 –– W
26/04 PSPS Pekanbaru
Indonesia Championship
0-0 0-2 –– L
18/04 Persikad 1999 FC
Indonesia Championship
1-0 1-1 –– D
12/04 Bekasi City
Indonesia Championship
0-1 1-1 108 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bekasi City win (45%). Probabilities: Bekasi City 45%, draw 27%, Sumsel United 29%.

How many goals are expected in Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Bekasi City 1.56 · Sumsel United 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bekasi City vs Sumsel United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.