Football · Indonesia Championship · 31/10, 13:00
Prediction: Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura
Team pages: Persela Lamongan · Persipura Jayapura
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Persela Lamongan1.4
Persipura Jayapura1.11
1X2
Persela Lamongan
Draw
Persipura Jayapura
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Persela Lamongan
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Persipura Jayapura
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Persela Lamongan
2–2–2
Persipura Jayapura
(6 last)
- Persipura Jayapura0-0Persela Lamongan
- Persipura Jayapura2-0Persela Lamongan
- Persela Lamongan1-2Persipura Jayapura
- Persela Lamongan2-1Persipura Jayapura
- Persipura Jayapura0-1Persela Lamongan
- Persipura Jayapura1-1Persela Lamongan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Persela Lamongan 1529 · Persipura Jayapura 1535
| Persela Lamongan | Draw | Persipura Jayapura | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 26% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persela Lamongan | Persipura Jayapura | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 2.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Persela Lamongan 2–2–2 Persipura Jayapura
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Persela Lamongan |
| 27/12/25 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Persela Lamongan |
| 06/10/25 Indonesia Championship | Persela Lamongan | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 06/12/24 Indonesia Championship | Persela Lamongan | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Persipura Jayapura |
| 25/09/24 Indonesia Championship | Persipura Jayapura | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Persela Lamongan |
| 06/01/22 Indonesia Super League | Persipura Jayapura | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Persela Lamongan |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Kendal Tornado | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | RANS Nusantara | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 15 |
| 4 | Persela Lamongan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | PS Barito Putera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Persipura Jayapura | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 10 |
| 7 | Persis Solo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 7 |
| 8 | De Red FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 9 | Persiba Balikpapan | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 | PSBS Biak | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 41 | -4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Persela Lamongan | Persipura Jayapura |
|---|---|---|
| de Red FC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| RANS Nusantara | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| PS Barito Putera | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| PSBS Biak | 6-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Persiba Balikpapan | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Persis Solo | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Kendal Tornado | 0-5 L | 0-0 D |
| Persipal Palu | 7-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Persela Lamongan (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persela Lamongan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | de Red FC Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Championship |
4-0 | 6-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Persis Solo Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
3-1 | 7-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Persipura Jayapura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | PSBS Biak Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/10 | De Red FC Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Persis Solo Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/09 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persela Lamongan win (43%). Probabilities: Persela Lamongan 43%, draw 28%, Persipura Jayapura 29%.
How many goals are expected in Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Persela Lamongan 1.4 · Persipura Jayapura 1.11), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Persela Lamongan vs Persipura Jayapura?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.