Football · Indonesia Championship · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras Sidoarjo

Team pages: Persipura Jayapura · Deltras Sidoarjo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Persipura Jayapura1.66

Deltras Sidoarjo1.49

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Persipura Jayapura Draw Deltras Sidoarjo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Persipura Jayapura 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWLWWL

Deltras Sidoarjo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDDDL

Head-to-head

Persipura Jayapura 3–1–2 Deltras Sidoarjo (6 last)

Persipura Jayapura3-0Deltras Sidoarjo
Persipura Jayapura1-0Deltras Sidoarjo
Deltras Sidoarjo2-0Persipura Jayapura
Persipura Jayapura1-1Deltras Sidoarjo
Deltras Sidoarjo2-0Persipura Jayapura
Persipura Jayapura1-0Deltras Sidoarjo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Persipura Jayapura 1526 · Deltras Sidoarjo 1535

	Persipura Jayapura	Draw	Deltras Sidoarjo
Our model	41%	26%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Persipura Jayapura: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Persipura Jayapura	Deltras Sidoarjo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.4	2.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.3	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +27’	2.20	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Persipura Jayapura 3–1–2 Deltras Sidoarjo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Indonesia Championship	Persipura Jayapura	3-0 HT 2-0	Deltras Sidoarjo
04/01/26 Indonesia Championship	Persipura Jayapura	1-0 HT 0-0	Deltras Sidoarjo
11/10/25 Indonesia Championship	Deltras Sidoarjo	2-0 HT 1-0	Persipura Jayapura
20/12/24 Indonesia Championship	Persipura Jayapura	1-1 HT 1-1	Deltras Sidoarjo
11/10/24 Indonesia Championship	Deltras Sidoarjo	2-0 HT 0-0	Persipura Jayapura
18/09/22 Indonesia Championship	Persipura Jayapura	1-0 HT 1-0	Deltras Sidoarjo

Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Persela Lamongan	8	5	2	1	16	5	16
2	PS Barito Putera	8	5	1	2	16	9	16
3	Deltras Sidoarjo	8	4	3	1	18	11	15
4	Kendal Tornado	8	4	4	0	16	4	15
5	RANS Nusantara	8	4	3	1	18	11	15
6	Persipura Jayapura	8	3	2	3	19	13	10
7	de Red FC	8	2	3	3	9	11	9
8	Persis Solo	8	1	4	3	14	12	7
9	Persiba Balikpapan	8	1	0	7	6	18	-1
10	PSBS Biak	8	0	0	8	3	41	-4

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Persipura Jayapura	Deltras Sidoarjo
Persela Lamongan	1-3 L	1-1 D
Persiba Balikpapan	5-1 W	2-0 W
PSBS Biak	6-1 W	5-0 W
RANS Nusantara	1-3 L	2-1 W
De Red FC	3-1 W	0-2 L
Persis Solo	1-1 D	3-3 D
Kendal Tornado	0-0 D	2-2 D
PS Barito Putera	2-3 L	3-2 W
Persiku Kudus	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Persipura Jayapura

WLLDDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship	0-1	1-3	8	2	L
23/10	Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship	1-0	5-1	5	5	W
17/10	PSBS Biak Indonesia Championship	1-0	6-1	6	5	W
09/10	RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship	0-1	1-3	10	4	L
02/10	De Red FC Indonesia Championship	0-0	3-1	1	3	W
26/09	Persis Solo Indonesia Championship	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
18/09	Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship	0-0	0-0	0	2	D
12/09	PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
08/05	Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
03/05	Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Deltras Sidoarjo

WWWWWWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	de Red FC Indonesia Championship	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
24/10	Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
18/10	Persis Solo Indonesia Championship	1-1	3-3	5	9	D
11/10	Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
04/10	Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship	0-0	2-0	5	1	W
27/09	RANS Nusantara Indonesia Championship	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
20/09	PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship	1-1	3-2	7	7	W
13/09	PSBS Biak Indonesia Championship	3-0	5-0	3	0	W
03/05	Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship	0-1	2-1	5	8	W
27/04	Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship	1-1	2-1	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras Sidoarjo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Persipura Jayapura win (41%). Probabilities: Persipura Jayapura 41%, draw 26%, Deltras Sidoarjo 33%.

How many goals are expected in Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras Sidoarjo?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Persipura Jayapura 1.66 · Deltras Sidoarjo 1.49), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Persipura Jayapura vs Deltras Sidoarjo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.