Prediction: Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang
Team pages: Sumsel United · PSIS Semarang
| Sumsel United | Draw | PSIS Semarang | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 26% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sumsel United | PSIS Semarang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.9 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.6 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSPS Pekanbaru | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | PSMS Medan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | Semen Padang | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Persikad 1999 FC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 5 | Sumsel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | PSIS Semarang | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Persiraja Aceh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Bekasi City | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | PSGC Ciamis | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 10 | Persiku Kudus | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 26 | -1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sumsel United | PSIS Semarang |
|---|---|---|
| Semen Padang | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Bekasi City | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Persikad 1999 FC | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Persiraja Aceh | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| PSPS Pekanbaru | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| PSGC Ciamis | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| PSMS Medan | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PSIS Semarang (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sumsel United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Semen Padang Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 02/10 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | PSPS Pekanbaru Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | PSGC Ciamis Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | PSPS Pekanbaru Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
PSIS Semarang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/10 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | PSGC Ciamis Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 03/10 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Semen Padang Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | PSPS Pekanbaru Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PSIS Semarang win (42%). Probabilities: Sumsel United 31%, draw 27%, PSIS Semarang 42%.
How many goals are expected in Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Sumsel United 1.23 · PSIS Semarang 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.