Football · Indonesia Championship · 11/09, 14:00
Prediction: PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Pekanbaru
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
PSIS Semarang1.77
PSPS Pekanbaru1.1
1X2
PSIS Semarang
Draw
PSPS Pekanbaru
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
PSIS Semarang
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
PSPS Pekanbaru
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSIS Semarang
0–1–0
PSPS Pekanbaru
(1 last)
- PSIS Semarang1-1PSPS Pekanbaru
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSIS Semarang 1487 · PSPS Pekanbaru 1537
| PSIS Semarang | Draw | PSPS Pekanbaru | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSPS Pekanbaru (rating 1487 vs 1537).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSIS Semarang | PSPS Pekanbaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.8 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSIS Semarang 0–1–0 PSPS Pekanbaru
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/17 Indonesia Championship | PSIS Semarang | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PSPS Pekanbaru |
Standings · Indonesia Championship · Championship 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bekasi City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persikad 1999 FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persiku Kudus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Persiraja Aceh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSGC Ciamis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSIS Semarang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSMS Medan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSPS Pekanbaru | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Semen Padang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sumsel United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSIS Semarang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | PSS Sleman Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Persipura Jayapura Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Persiku Kudus Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | PS Barito Putera Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 29/03 | Persipal Palu Indonesia Championship |
2-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 01/03 | Persiba Balikpapan Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/02 | Deltras Sidoarjo Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/02 | Persela Lamongan Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 4 | D |
| 30/01 | Kendal Tornado Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
PSPS Pekanbaru
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Bekasi City Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Sumsel United Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Persekat Kabupaten Tegal Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Persikad 1999 FC Indonesia Championship |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Sriwijaya Indonesia Championship |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | PSMS Medan Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 28/02 | Garudayaksa Indonesia Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 20/02 | Isenmulang Kalteng FC Indonesia Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/02 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/01 | Persiraja Aceh Indonesia Championship |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Pekanbaru?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSIS Semarang win (52%). Probabilities: PSIS Semarang 52%, draw 26%, PSPS Pekanbaru 22%.
How many goals are expected in PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Pekanbaru?
The model expects 2.87 goals (PSIS Semarang 1.77 · PSPS Pekanbaru 1.1), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PSIS Semarang vs PSPS Pekanbaru?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.