Football · Romania Liga III · 29/08, 17:00
Prediction: ACS Viitorul Arad vs ACS Progresul Pecica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
ACS Viitorul Arad1.51
ACS Progresul Pecica1.14
1X2
ACS Viitorul Arad
Draw
ACS Progresul Pecica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
ACS Viitorul Arad
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
ACS Progresul Pecica
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ACS Viitorul Arad
4–1
ACS Progresul Pecica
(5 last)
- ACS Viitorul Arad2-0ACS Progresul Pecica
- ACS Progresul Pecica0-1ACS Viitorul Arad
- ACS Viitorul Arad2-1ACS Progresul Pecica
- ACS Viitorul Arad3-1ACS Progresul Pecica
- ACS Progresul Pecica3-0ACS Viitorul Arad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ACS Viitorul Arad 1408 · ACS Progresul Pecica 1455
| ACS Viitorul Arad | Draw | ACS Progresul Pecica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 28% | 27% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ACS Progresul Pecica (rating 1408 vs 1455).
- H2H favours ACS Viitorul Arad: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ACS Viitorul Arad | ACS Progresul Pecica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ACS Viitorul Arad 4–0–1 ACS Progresul Pecica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/25 Romania Liga III | ACS Viitorul Arad | 2-0 HT 0-0 | ACS Progresul Pecica |
| 30/08/25 Romania Liga III | ACS Progresul Pecica | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ACS Viitorul Arad |
| 06/08/25 Romania Cup | ACS Viitorul Arad | 2-1 HT 2-0 | ACS Progresul Pecica |
| 16/11/24 Romania Liga III | ACS Viitorul Arad | 3-1 | ACS Progresul Pecica |
| 14/09/24 Romania Liga III | ACS Progresul Pecica | 3-0 HT 2-0 | ACS Viitorul Arad |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 7
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSM Deva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | CS Timisul Sag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | ACS CIL Blaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | ACS Progresul Pecica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CS Unirea Santana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | ACS Viitorul Arad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Nera Bogodinti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Unirea Alba Iulia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | CSU Alba Iulia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ACS Viitorul Arad | ACS Progresul Pecica |
|---|---|---|
| ACS CIL Blaj | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| CS Metalurgistul Cugir | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: ACS Progresul Pecica (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ACS Viitorul Arad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | SCM Zalau Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | SCM Zalau Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | CS Minaur Baia Mare Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | CS Sanatatea Cluj Romania Liga III |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/04 | AFC Unirea Tasnad Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
ACS Progresul Pecica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | ACS CIL Blaj Romania Liga III |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | CS Unirea Santana Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Acs Unirea Dmo Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | CS Timisul Sag Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | CS Metalurgistul Cugir Romania Liga III |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 20/03 | Ghiroda SI Giarmata VII Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Stiinta Poli Timisoara Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 07/03 | CSU Alba Iulia Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ACS Viitorul Arad vs ACS Progresul Pecica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ACS Viitorul Arad win (45%). Probabilities: ACS Viitorul Arad 45%, draw 26%, ACS Progresul Pecica 28%.
How many goals are expected in ACS Viitorul Arad vs ACS Progresul Pecica?
The model expects 2.65 goals (ACS Viitorul Arad 1.51 · ACS Progresul Pecica 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ACS Viitorul Arad vs ACS Progresul Pecica?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.