Football · Romania Liga III · 28/08, 17:00
Prediction: CS Blejoi vs CSM Flacara Moreni
Team pages: CSM Flacara Moreni
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
CS Blejoi1.46
CSM Flacara Moreni2.04
1X2
CS Blejoi
Draw
CSM Flacara Moreni
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Blejoi
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
CSM Flacara Moreni
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Blejoi
4–0
CSM Flacara Moreni
(4 last)
- CS Blejoi4-2CSM Flacara Moreni
- CSM Flacara Moreni0-1CS Blejoi
- CS Blejoi3-1CSM Flacara Moreni
- CSM Flacara Moreni0-3CS Blejoi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Blejoi 1411 · CSM Flacara Moreni 1527
| CS Blejoi | Draw | CSM Flacara Moreni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| Market | 26% | 24% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSM Flacara Moreni (rating 1411 vs 1527).
- H2H favours CS Blejoi: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Blejoi | CSM Flacara Moreni | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/29/57% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.5 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Blejoi 4–0–0 CSM Flacara Moreni
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/24 Romania Liga III | CS Blejoi | 4-2 HT 2-2 | CSM Flacara Moreni |
| 05/10/24 Romania Liga III | CSM Flacara Moreni | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CS Blejoi |
| 04/11/23 Romania Liga III | CS Blejoi | 3-1 HT 2-1 | CSM Flacara Moreni |
| 02/09/23 Romania Liga III | CSM Flacara Moreni | 0-3 | CS Blejoi |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACS Progresul Draganesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Urban Titu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ACS Viitorul Corbeanca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vointa 2024 Crevedia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Blejoi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Paulesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Tunari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSM Flacara Moreni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSM Ramnicu Sarat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CSO Plopeni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Petrolul ZF 1948 Berca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Pucioasa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Blejoi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Viitorul Onesti Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 17/04 | Cetate Suceava Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/04 | Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | AS Stiinta Miroslava Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/03 | ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
CSM Flacara Moreni
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III |
– | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/04 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Tricolorul Breaza Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | ACS Olimpic Zarnesti Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Blejoi vs CSM Flacara Moreni?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CSM Flacara Moreni win (50%). Probabilities: CS Blejoi 27%, draw 23%, CSM Flacara Moreni 50%.
How many goals are expected in CS Blejoi vs CSM Flacara Moreni?
The model expects 3.5 goals (CS Blejoi 1.46 · CSM Flacara Moreni 2.04), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Blejoi vs CSM Flacara Moreni?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.