Football · Romania Liga III · 29/08, 17:00
Prediction: CS Agigea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
CS Agigea1.64
Recolta Gheorghe Doja1.55
1X2
CS Agigea
Draw
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
CS Agigea
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CS Agigea
0–3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
(3 last)
- CS Agigea0-1Recolta Gheorghe Doja
- Recolta Gheorghe Doja4-1CS Agigea
- CS Agigea0-1Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CS Agigea 1438 · Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1515
| CS Agigea | Draw | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Recolta Gheorghe Doja (rating 1438 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Recolta Gheorghe Doja: 3-0-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CS Agigea | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 0/0/100% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | 4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Agigea 0–0–3 Recolta Gheorghe Doja
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Romania Liga III | CS Agigea | 0-1 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja |
| 15/11/25 Romania Liga III | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 4-1 | CS Agigea |
| 06/09/25 Romania Liga III | CS Agigea | 0-1 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja |
Standings · Romania Liga III · Liga 3 26/27, Group 4
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Agricola Borcea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | ACS Progresul Fundulea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Inainte Modelu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | CSA Axiopolis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Unirea Branistea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | CS Agigea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Gloria Baneasa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | CS Portul Constanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | CS Sporting Liesti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Dunarea Calarasi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Otelul Galati II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CS Agigea | Recolta Gheorghe Doja |
|---|---|---|
| ACS Progresul Fundulea | 0-2 L | 2-6 L |
| Steaua Bucharest II | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Dinamo Bucharest II | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Voluntari II | 0-1 L | 4-3 W |
| CSA Axiopolis | 1-1 D | 1-7 L |
| Gloria Baneasa | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Inainte Modelu | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Recolta Gheorghe Doja (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CS Agigea
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/04 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja Romania Liga III |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/03 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | FC Voluntari II Romania Liga III |
– | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Gloria Baneasa Romania Liga III |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 2-6 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Steaua Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | CS Agigea Romania Liga III |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | CSA Axiopolis Romania Liga III |
– | 1-7 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Liga III |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/03 | Dinamo Bucharest II Romania Liga III |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CS Agigea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Agigea win (40%). Probabilities: CS Agigea 40%, draw 25%, Recolta Gheorghe Doja 36%.
How many goals are expected in CS Agigea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
The model expects 3.19 goals (CS Agigea 1.64 · Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1.55), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in CS Agigea vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.