Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar
Team pages: Zrinjski Mostar · Zeljeznicar
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Zrinjski Mostar2.05
Zeljeznicar0.64
1X2
Zrinjski Mostar
Draw
Zeljeznicar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zrinjski Mostar
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Zeljeznicar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zrinjski Mostar
4–2
Zeljeznicar
(6 last)
- Zrinjski Mostar2-0Zeljeznicar
- Zeljeznicar1-3Zrinjski Mostar
- Zrinjski Mostar2-1Zeljeznicar
- Zeljeznicar2-0Zrinjski Mostar
- Zrinjski Mostar0-2Zeljeznicar
- Zrinjski Mostar5-0Zeljeznicar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zrinjski Mostar 1601 · Zeljeznicar 1478
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Zeljeznicar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zrinjski Mostar (rating 1601 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Zrinjski Mostar: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zrinjski Mostar | Zeljeznicar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.1 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zrinjski Mostar 4–0–2 Zeljeznicar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Zeljeznicar |
| 02/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 09/11/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Zeljeznicar |
| 24/08/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zeljeznicar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 02/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Zrinjski Mostar | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Zeljeznicar |
| 19/04/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 5-0 HT 5-0 | Zeljeznicar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski Mostar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zeljeznicar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | BSK Banja Luka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | FK Sloga Doboj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Radnik Bijeljina | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 9 | NK Celik Zenica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 | Velez Mostar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zrinjski Mostar | Zeljeznicar |
|---|---|---|
| Radnik Bijeljina | 5-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Velez Mostar | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Rudar Prijedor | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| HSK Posusje | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Siroki Brijeg | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Sloga Doboj | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zrinjski Mostar (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zrinjski Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | NK Celik Zenica Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 26/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Zeljeznicar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
Zeljeznicar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | BSK Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | FK Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Siroki Brijeg Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Borac Banja Luka Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FK Sloga Doboj Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Zrinjski Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/04 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 11/04 | Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zrinjski Mostar win (70%). Probabilities: Zrinjski Mostar 70%, draw 21%, Zeljeznicar 10%.
How many goals are expected in Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Zrinjski Mostar 2.05 · Zeljeznicar 0.64), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.