Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 21/08, 20:45
Prediction: Tolka Rovers vs Bangor Celtic FC
Team pages: Tolka Rovers · Bangor Celtic FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Tolka Rovers1.94
Bangor Celtic FC1.9
1X2
Tolka Rovers
Draw
Bangor Celtic FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tolka Rovers
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Bangor Celtic FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tolka Rovers
0–4–2
Bangor Celtic FC
(6 last)
- Bangor Celtic FC1-1Tolka Rovers
- Tolka Rovers1-1Bangor Celtic FC
- Tolka Rovers0-2Bangor Celtic FC
- Tolka Rovers0-1Bangor Celtic FC
- Bangor Celtic FC1-1Tolka Rovers
- Bangor Celtic FC1-1Tolka Rovers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tolka Rovers 1446 · Bangor Celtic FC 1503
| Tolka Rovers | Draw | Bangor Celtic FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bangor Celtic FC (rating 1446 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Bangor Celtic FC: 2-4-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tolka Rovers | Bangor Celtic FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 3.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tolka Rovers 0–4–2 Bangor Celtic FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Bangor Celtic FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tolka Rovers |
| 01/10/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Tolka Rovers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bangor Celtic FC |
| 24/10/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Tolka Rovers | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bangor Celtic FC |
| 23/02/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Tolka Rovers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bangor Celtic FC |
| 28/01/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Bangor Celtic FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tolka Rovers |
| 10/02/17 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Bangor Celtic FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Tolka Rovers |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tolka Rovers | Bangor Celtic FC |
|---|---|---|
| Malahide Utd | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| St Mochtas | 0-1 L | 5-6 L |
| Finglas United | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bangor Celtic FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tolka Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | Derry City Republic of Ireland FAI Intermediate Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Fairview Rangers AFC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 29/04 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Bangor Celtic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | College Corinthians FC Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 10/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-5 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
4-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 8-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | River Valley Rangers Republic of Ireland FAI Cup |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | UCD II Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tolka Rovers vs Bangor Celtic FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tolka Rovers win (39%). Probabilities: Tolka Rovers 39%, draw 23%, Bangor Celtic FC 38%.
How many goals are expected in Tolka Rovers vs Bangor Celtic FC?
The model expects 3.84 goals (Tolka Rovers 1.94 · Bangor Celtic FC 1.9), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tolka Rovers vs Bangor Celtic FC?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.