Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 26/08, 20:45
Prediction: Malahide Utd vs Lucan United
Team pages: Malahide Utd · Lucan United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Malahide Utd2.26
Lucan United1.21
1X2
Malahide Utd
Draw
Lucan United
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Malahide Utd
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Lucan United
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Malahide Utd
4–2
Lucan United
(6 last)
- Lucan United1-2Malahide Utd
- Malahide Utd3-0Lucan United
- Lucan United1-3Malahide Utd
- Lucan United5-0Malahide Utd
- Malahide Utd0-1Lucan United
- Malahide Utd2-0Lucan United
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malahide Utd 1573 · Lucan United 1438
| Malahide Utd | Draw | Lucan United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Market | 61% | 19% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malahide Utd (rating 1573 vs 1438).
- H2H favours Malahide Utd: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Malahide Utd | Lucan United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Malahide Utd 4–0–2 Lucan United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Malahide Utd |
| 13/05/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Malahide Utd | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Lucan United |
| 14/03/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Malahide Utd |
| 14/04/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Lucan United | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Malahide Utd |
| 19/03/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Malahide Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lucan United |
| 10/05/23 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Malahide Utd | 2-0 | Lucan United |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Malahide Utd | Lucan United |
|---|---|---|
| Finglas United | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Tolka Rovers | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Usher Celtic | 3-0 W | 6-1 W |
| St Francis FC | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Killester Donnycarney FC | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Malahide Utd (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malahide Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/04 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Lucan United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 28/05 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 21/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
4-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malahide Utd vs Lucan United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Malahide Utd win (61%). Probabilities: Malahide Utd 61%, draw 20%, Lucan United 19%.
How many goals are expected in Malahide Utd vs Lucan United?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Malahide Utd 2.26 · Lucan United 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Malahide Utd vs Lucan United?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.