Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 26/08, 20:45
Prediction: St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd
Team pages: St Mochtas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
St Mochtas1.55
Kilbarrack Utd1.75
1X2
St Mochtas
Draw
Kilbarrack Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
St Mochtas
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Kilbarrack Utd
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Mochtas
2–2–2
Kilbarrack Utd
(6 last)
- Kilbarrack Utd3-0St Mochtas
- St Mochtas0-1Kilbarrack Utd
- St Mochtas3-2Kilbarrack Utd
- Kilbarrack Utd1-1St Mochtas
- Kilbarrack Utd1-2St Mochtas
- St Mochtas3-3Kilbarrack Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Mochtas 1552 · Kilbarrack Utd 1553
| St Mochtas | Draw | Kilbarrack Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 24% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Mochtas | Kilbarrack Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.4 | 3.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Mochtas 2–2–2 Kilbarrack Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Kilbarrack Utd | 3-0 HT 2-0 | St Mochtas |
| 27/08/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kilbarrack Utd |
| 13/05/25 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Kilbarrack Utd |
| 25/10/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Kilbarrack Utd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | St Mochtas |
| 23/02/24 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Kilbarrack Utd | 1-2 HT 0-0 | St Mochtas |
| 11/10/23 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | St Mochtas | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Kilbarrack Utd |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Mochtas | Kilbarrack Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Finglas United | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Usher Celtic | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Ballymun United | 1-0 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Kilbarrack Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Mochtas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Kilbarrack Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 03/06 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 29/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-4 | 6-5 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/05 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Kilbarrack Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Crumlin United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Glebe North FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/06 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 28/05 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 19/05 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | UCD II Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Usher Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kilbarrack Utd win (42%). Probabilities: St Mochtas 33%, draw 25%, Kilbarrack Utd 42%.
How many goals are expected in St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd?
The model expects 3.3 goals (St Mochtas 1.55 · Kilbarrack Utd 1.75), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.