Football · Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · 28/08, 21:00
Prediction: Inchicore Athletic FC vs Tolka Rovers
Team pages: Inchicore Athletic FC · Tolka Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Inchicore Athletic FC2.07
Tolka Rovers1.74
1X2
Inchicore Athletic FC
Draw
Tolka Rovers
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Inchicore Athletic FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Tolka Rovers
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inchicore Athletic FC
2–1–1
Tolka Rovers
(4 last)
- Inchicore Athletic FC5-2Tolka Rovers
- Tolka Rovers1-4Inchicore Athletic FC
- Inchicore Athletic FC3-3Tolka Rovers
- Tolka Rovers2-1Inchicore Athletic FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inchicore Athletic FC 1530 · Tolka Rovers 1452
| Inchicore Athletic FC | Draw | Tolka Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inchicore Athletic FC (rating 1530 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Inchicore Athletic FC: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inchicore Athletic FC | Tolka Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 2.2 | 1.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inchicore Athletic FC 2–1–1 Tolka Rovers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Inchicore Athletic FC | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Tolka Rovers |
| 05/06/26 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Tolka Rovers | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Inchicore Athletic FC |
| 24/01/20 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League | Inchicore Athletic FC | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Tolka Rovers |
| 19/10/18 Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup | Tolka Rovers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Inchicore Athletic FC |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inchicore Athletic FC | Tolka Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Lucan United | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Wayside Celtic | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Montpelier FC | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Finglas United | 3-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Inchicore Athletic FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inchicore Athletic FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 19/08 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 17/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
3-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 05/06 | Tolka Rovers Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Killester Donnycarney FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | St Francis FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | Ballymun United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | L |
Tolka Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Glebe North FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | Bangor Celtic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Montpelier FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucan United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | Inchicore Athletic FC Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/06 | Malahide Utd Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | St Mochtas Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Finglas United Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 29/04 | Wayside Celtic Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inchicore Athletic FC vs Tolka Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Inchicore Athletic FC win (45%). Probabilities: Inchicore Athletic FC 45%, draw 23%, Tolka Rovers 32%.
How many goals are expected in Inchicore Athletic FC vs Tolka Rovers?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Inchicore Athletic FC 2.07 · Tolka Rovers 1.74), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Inchicore Athletic FC vs Tolka Rovers?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.