Football · Panama Liga Prom · 21/08, 23:00

Prediction: Herrera FC Reserves vs Veraguas United Reserves

Team pages: Herrera FC Reserves · Veraguas United Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Herrera FC Reserves1.35

Veraguas United Reserves2.03

1X2

25% 23% 52%

Herrera FC Reserves Draw Veraguas United Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Herrera FC Reserves 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLWW

Veraguas United Reserves 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLLLDW

Head-to-head

Herrera FC Reserves 1–5 Veraguas United Reserves (6 last)

Herrera FC Reserves0-3Veraguas United Reserves
Veraguas United Reserves2-0Herrera FC Reserves
Veraguas United Reserves4-3Herrera FC Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves1-3Veraguas United Reserves
Herrera FC Reserves1-2Veraguas United Reserves
Veraguas United Reserves1-3Herrera FC Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Herrera FC Reserves 1453 · Veraguas United Reserves 1521

	Herrera FC Reserves	Draw	Veraguas United Reserves
Our model	24%	23%	52%
Market	25%	22%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Veraguas United Reserves (rating 1453 vs 1521).
H2H favours Veraguas United Reserves: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Herrera FC Reserves	Veraguas United Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/57/14%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 2.6	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.00

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:49 +12’	3.60	4.00	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Herrera FC Reserves 1–0–5 Veraguas United Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	0-3	Veraguas United Reserves
16/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Herrera FC Reserves
18/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	4-3 HT 3-2	Herrera FC Reserves
19/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-3 HT 0-1	Veraguas United Reserves
26/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Herrera FC Reserves	1-2 HT 1-2	Veraguas United Reserves
30/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	Veraguas United Reserves	1-3 HT 1-1	Herrera FC Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Universitario Reserves	4	3	1	0	9	5	10
2	Herrera FC Reserves	4	2	0	2	9	6	6
3	Rayados de Chiriqui	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
4	Bocas	4	1	2	1	6	7	5
5	Veraguas United Reserves	4	1	1	2	8	7	4
6	La Familia FC	4	0	2	2	4	9	2

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Herrera FC Reserves	Veraguas United Reserves
La Familia FC	5-1 W	1-1 D
Bocas	3-1 W	1-2 L
CD Universitario Reserves	1-3 L	1-2 L
Rayados de Chiriqui	0-1 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Herrera FC Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	5-1	4	6	W
08/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-1	1	8	W
02/08	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
25/07	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
02/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	–	0-5	–	–	L
26/04	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-4	2	3	L
18/04	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	–	3-1	–	–	W
12/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	0	9	L
02/04	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	0-3	–	–	L
27/03	SD Atletico Nacional Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	4	L

Veraguas United Reserves

DWWDDLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	3-2	5-2	1	8	W
07/08	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
02/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	0-2	1-2	7	12	L
24/07	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	12	7	L
01/05	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
24/04	La Familia FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
17/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-2	3	10	D
11/04	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	1	8	W
02/04	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	3-0	–	–	W
27/03	Union Cocle Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Herrera FC Reserves vs Veraguas United Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Veraguas United Reserves win (52%). Probabilities: Herrera FC Reserves 25%, draw 23%, Veraguas United Reserves 52%.

How many goals are expected in Herrera FC Reserves vs Veraguas United Reserves?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Herrera FC Reserves 1.35 · Veraguas United Reserves 2.03), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Herrera FC Reserves vs Veraguas United Reserves?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.