Football · Panama Liga Prom · 22/08, 01:00

Prediction: San Martin FC vs Plaza Amador Reserves

Team pages: San Martin FC · Plaza Amador Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

San Martin FC1.15

Plaza Amador Reserves2.05

1X2

20% 23% 57%

San Martin FC Draw Plaza Amador Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

San Martin FC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDDLLLWLLL

Plaza Amador Reserves 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDDDLWLL

Head-to-head

San Martin FC 0–1–5 Plaza Amador Reserves (6 last)

San Martin FC0-2Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves4-0San Martin FC
San Martin FC1-5Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves7-2San Martin FC
San Martin FC2-2Plaza Amador Reserves
San Martin FC1-3Plaza Amador Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Martin FC 1434 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1519

	San Martin FC	Draw	Plaza Amador Reserves
Our model	20%	23%	57%
Market	20%	23%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plaza Amador Reserves (rating 1434 vs 1519).
H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Martin FC	Plaza Amador Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/50/38%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.90

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:22 +3’	4.50	3.90	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin FC 0–1–5 Plaza Amador Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Plaza Amador Reserves
03/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	4-0 HT 0-0	San Martin FC
21/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	1-5 HT 0-2	Plaza Amador Reserves
25/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	7-2 HT 5-1	San Martin FC
29/01/25 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Plaza Amador Reserves
26/07/24 Panama Liga Prom	San Martin FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Plaza Amador Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chorrillo	5	3	2	0	10	3	11
2	Potros Del Este	5	3	0	2	6	5	9
3	Tauro FC Reserves	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
4	Alianza FC Reserves	4	1	1	2	4	9	4
5	San Martin FC	4	1	0	3	6	8	3
6	Plaza Amador Reserves	4	1	0	3	4	6	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Martin FC	Plaza Amador Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves	0-1 L	0-1 L
Potros Del Este	1-2 L	0-1 L
Chorrillo	1-4 L	0-3 L
Alianza FC Reserves	4-1 W	4-1 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-3 L	4-4 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador Reserves (1 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Martin FC

WDDLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
06/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
30/07	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	–	1-4	–	–	L
24/07	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	4-1	–	–	W
09/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
05/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/04	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-2	0	1	L
26/04	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	5	10	D
19/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
10/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-0	6	9	W

Plaza Amador Reserves

WDWDDDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
31/07	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
25/07	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
05/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
29/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
24/04	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
16/04	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	2-0	4-0	1	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Martin FC vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador Reserves win (57%). Probabilities: San Martin FC 20%, draw 23%, Plaza Amador Reserves 57%.

How many goals are expected in San Martin FC vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model expects 3.2 goals (San Martin FC 1.15 · Plaza Amador Reserves 2.05), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in San Martin FC vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.