Football · Panama Liga Prom · 22/08, 23:00

Prediction: CD Universitario Reserves vs La Familia FC

Team pages: CD Universitario Reserves · La Familia FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.34Total

CD Universitario Reserves2.44

La Familia FC0.9

1X2

71% 18% 12%

CD Universitario Reserves Draw La Familia FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

CD Universitario Reserves 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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La Familia FC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CD Universitario Reserves 5–1 La Familia FC (6 last)

La Familia FC0-2CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves3-1La Familia FC
La Familia FC0-2CD Universitario Reserves
CD Universitario Reserves4-0La Familia FC
CD Universitario Reserves4-1La Familia FC
La Familia FC1-0CD Universitario Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Universitario Reserves 1573 · La Familia FC 1386

	CD Universitario Reserves	Draw	La Familia FC
Our model	70%	18%	11%
Market	71%	17%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Universitario Reserves (rating 1573 vs 1386).
H2H favours CD Universitario Reserves: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 13.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Universitario Reserves	La Familia FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.3	0.5 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	13/38/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	1 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 1	7.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.25

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.98

2 (+2)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.25 → 1.25	Bet365 1.25
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
23:02 +1’	1.25	5.25	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universitario Reserves 5–0–1 La Familia FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Panama Liga Prom	La Familia FC	0-2 HT 0-2	CD Universitario Reserves
17/01/26 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	3-1 HT 0-0	La Familia FC
16/10/25 Panama Liga Prom	La Familia FC	0-2 HT 0-0	CD Universitario Reserves
18/07/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	4-0 HT 2-0	La Familia FC
23/04/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Universitario Reserves	4-1 HT 0-1	La Familia FC
01/02/25 Panama Liga Prom	La Familia FC	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Universitario Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, West-North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Universitario Reserves	4	3	1	0	9	5	10
2	Veraguas United Reserves	5	2	1	2	12	9	7
3	Herrera FC Reserves	5	2	0	3	11	10	6
4	Rayados de Chiriqui	4	2	0	2	6	8	6
5	Bocas	4	1	2	1	6	7	5
6	La Familia FC	4	0	2	2	4	9	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Universitario Reserves	La Familia FC
Bocas	2-2 D	1-1 D
Rayados de Chiriqui	2-1 W	1-2 L
Herrera FC Reserves	3-1 W	1-5 L
Veraguas United Reserves	2-1 W	1-1 D
Udelas FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Universitario Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Universitario Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	3	7	D
08/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
02/08	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
24/07	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-0	2-1	4	7	W
15/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	1	8	L
10/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
06/05	Aguilas de la U Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
25/04	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	2-1	4-3	4	8	W
18/04	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	–	2-0	–	–	W
11/04	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-2	9	8	L

La Familia FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	1-5	3	6	L
07/08	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
01/08	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	5	7	L
26/07	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-1	0	10	D
03/05	Rayados de Chiriqui Panama Liga Prom	–	0-4	–	–	L
24/04	Veraguas United Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
18/04	Herrera FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-3	–	–	L
12/04	Bocas Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-7	0	9	L
02/04	CD Universitario Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-2	0-2	4	7	L
29/03	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	3	10	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Universitario Reserves vs La Familia FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Universitario Reserves win (71%). Probabilities: CD Universitario Reserves 71%, draw 18%, La Familia FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in CD Universitario Reserves vs La Familia FC?

The model expects 3.34 goals (CD Universitario Reserves 2.44 · La Familia FC 0.9), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Universitario Reserves vs La Familia FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.