Football · Panama Liga Prom · 21/08, 16:00
Prediction: Academia Costa Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Team pages: Academia Costa Del Este · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Academia Costa Del Este1.86
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.43
1X2
Academia Costa Del Este
Draw
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Costa Del Este
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Costa Del Este
3–3–0
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
(6 last)
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves0-2Academia Costa Del Este
- Academia Costa Del Este1-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Academia Costa Del Este1-0Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Academia Costa Del Este2-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-3Academia Costa Del Este
- Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-1Academia Costa Del Este
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Costa Del Este 1555 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1439
| Academia Costa Del Este | Draw | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Academia Costa Del Este (rating 1555 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Academia Costa Del Este: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Costa Del Este | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.8 | 2.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.8 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Costa Del Este 3–3–0 Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Academia Costa Del Este |
| 31/01/26 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 20/11/25 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 11/10/25 Panama Liga Prom | Academia Costa Del Este | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
| 31/07/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Academia Costa Del Este |
| 05/04/25 Panama Liga Prom | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Academia Costa Del Este |
Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia Costa Del Este | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Panama City FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 4 | UMECIT Reserves | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 5 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 6 | Champions FC Academy | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Costa Del Este | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| CD Arabe Unido Reserves | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Panama City FC | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| UMECIT Reserves | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Champions FC Academy | 1-0 W | 3-5 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Costa Del Este (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Costa Del Este
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/07 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/07 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 9 | D |
| 05/05 | Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 9-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 16/04 | Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 12/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 07/08 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/04 | Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 12/04 | UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom |
0-2 | 0-5 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 02/04 | Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 26/03 | San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom |
3-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Costa Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia Costa Del Este win (46%). Probabilities: Academia Costa Del Este 46%, draw 25%, Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 28%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Costa Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?
The model expects 3.3 goals (Academia Costa Del Este 1.86 · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Costa Del Este vs Sporting San Miguelito Reserves?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.