Football · Georgia Liga 3 · 20/08, 16:00

Prediction: Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Gonio

Team pages: Lokomotiv Tbilisi · FC Gonio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.14Total
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1
FC Gonio1.15
1X2
32% 29% 39%
Lokomotiv Tbilisi Draw FC Gonio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWWDLWD
FC Gonio 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LLDWWWWLWD
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Tbilisi 0–2–3 FC Gonio (5 last)
  • FC Gonio1-0Lokomotiv Tbilisi
  • FC Gonio2-1Lokomotiv Tbilisi
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-1FC Gonio
  • FC Gonio2-1Lokomotiv Tbilisi
  • Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-1FC Gonio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1528 · FC Gonio 1548
Lokomotiv TbilisiDrawFC Gonio
Our model30%32%38%
Market33%26%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Gonio: 3-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lokomotiv TbilisiFC Gonio
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.52.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.72.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.13.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Tbilisi 023 FC Gonio

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/03/26
Georgia Liga 3
FC Gonio1-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
17/10/25
Georgia First League
FC Gonio2-1
HT 0-1
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
18/08/25
Georgia First League
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-1
HT 0-1
FC Gonio
02/05/25
Georgia First League
FC Gonio2-1
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv Tbilisi
08/03/25
Georgia First League
Lokomotiv Tbilisi1-1
HT 1-1
FC Gonio

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLokomotiv TbilisiFC Gonio
Iveria Khashuri 0-0 D 1-1 D
FC Iberia 2010 1-0 W 2-0 W
FC Margveti 2006 1-0 W 4-0 W
Gardabani 1-1 D 6-0 W
Betlemi 1-0 W 3-0 W
FC Merani Tbilisi 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Gonio (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lokomotiv Tbilisi

LWDWWWDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 FC Iberia 1999 II
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 25 D
06/08 Guria Lanchkhuti
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 00 W
26/06 FC Basa
Georgia Cup
1-1 1-2 121 L
21/06 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 0-0 113 D
15/06 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-0 41 W
28/05 Kolkheti
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 W
21/05 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 53 W
14/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-1 1-1 91 D
07/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-0 77 W
03/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 0-1 13 L

FC Gonio

LLDWWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/08 Iveria Khashuri
Georgia Liga 3
0-1 1-1 136 D
06/08 FC Iberia 2010
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 2-0 34 W
25/07 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Georgia Cup
1-1 1-2 61 L
26/06 FC Dinamo Sokhumi
Georgia Cup
1-0 3-0 05 W
15/06 FC Margveti 2006
Georgia Liga 3
2-0 4-0 22 W
28/05 Gardabani
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 6-0 W
21/05 Betlemi
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 3-0 45 W
14/05 FC Merani Tbilisi
Georgia Liga 3
0-0 1-1 16 D
07/05 FC Didube 2014
Georgia Liga 3
1-0 1-2 93 L
03/05 FC Orbi
Georgia Liga 3
0-2 0-4 44 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Gonio?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Gonio win (39%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Tbilisi 32%, draw 29%, FC Gonio 39%.

How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Gonio?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Lokomotiv Tbilisi 1 · FC Gonio 1.15), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Tbilisi vs FC Gonio?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.