Football · Belarus Premier League · 22/08, 16:45
Prediction: Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno
Team pages: Naftan Novopolotsk · Neman Grodno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Naftan Novopolotsk1.49
Neman Grodno1.47
1X2
Naftan Novopolotsk
Draw
Neman Grodno
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Naftan Novopolotsk
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Neman Grodno
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Naftan Novopolotsk
0–1–5
Neman Grodno
(6 last)
- Neman Grodno3-1Naftan Novopolotsk
- Neman Grodno1-0Naftan Novopolotsk
- Naftan Novopolotsk1-3Neman Grodno
- Naftan Novopolotsk0-0Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno2-1Naftan Novopolotsk
- Neman Grodno4-0Naftan Novopolotsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Neman Grodno (rating 1435 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Neman Grodno: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Naftan Novopolotsk | Neman Grodno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.2 | – / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naftan Novopolotsk 0–1–5 Neman Grodno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 19/10/25 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 20/05/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Neman Grodno |
| 25/09/24 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Neman Grodno |
| 16/03/24 Belarus Premier League | Neman Grodno | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 10/02/24 Club Friendly List | Neman Grodno | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Isloch | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 34 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 29 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 28 |
| 7 | FC Vitebsk | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 26 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 24 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 15 | Belshina Bobruisk | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 12 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 10 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Naftan Novopolotsk | Neman Grodno |
|---|---|---|
| FK Gomel | 0-6 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-4 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naftan Novopolotsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | FC Orsha Belarus Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
Neman Grodno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Soligorsk Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Yenisey Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Naftan Novopolotsk win (37%). Probabilities: Naftan Novopolotsk 37%, draw 27%, Neman Grodno 36%.
How many goals are expected in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Naftan Novopolotsk 1.49 · Neman Grodno 1.47), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman Grodno?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.