Football · Belarus Premier League · 30/08, 19:00
Prediction: BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk
Team pages: BATE Borisov · FC Minsk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
BATE Borisov1.06
FC Minsk1.1
1X2
BATE Borisov
Draw
FC Minsk
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
BATE Borisov
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
FC Minsk
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BATE Borisov
1–5
FC Minsk
(6 last)
- FC Minsk1-0BATE Borisov
- FC Minsk2-0BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov0-2FC Minsk
- BATE Borisov0-1FC Minsk
- FC Minsk0-1BATE Borisov
- BATE Borisov1-2FC Minsk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Minsk (rating 1460 vs 1520).
- H2H favours FC Minsk: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BATE Borisov | FC Minsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.3 | – / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BATE Borisov 1–0–5 FC Minsk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/26 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 30/11/25 Belarus Premier League | FC Minsk | 2-0 HT 0-0 | BATE Borisov |
| 05/07/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Minsk |
| 02/08/24 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Minsk |
| 24/02/24 Club Friendly List | FC Minsk | 0-1 HT 0-1 | BATE Borisov |
| 25/10/23 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Minsk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | FC ML Vitebsk | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 35 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Vitebsk | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 32 |
| 6 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 15 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 44 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BATE Borisov | FC Minsk |
|---|---|---|
| FC ML Vitebsk | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| FK Gomel | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Minsk | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/06 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
FC Minsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | FC ML Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Minsk win (35%). Probabilities: BATE Borisov 33%, draw 32%, FC Minsk 35%.
How many goals are expected in BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk?
The model expects 2.16 goals (BATE Borisov 1.06 · FC Minsk 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.