Football · Belarus Premier League · 28/08, 19:00
Prediction: FK Gomel vs Belshina Bobruisk
Team pages: FK Gomel · Belshina Bobruisk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
FK Gomel1.77
Belshina Bobruisk1.03
1X2
FK Gomel
Draw
Belshina Bobruisk
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gomel
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Belshina Bobruisk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Gomel
4–1–1
Belshina Bobruisk
(6 last)
- Belshina Bobruisk0-2FK Gomel
- FK Gomel4-0Belshina Bobruisk
- Belshina Bobruisk0-2FK Gomel
- FK Gomel2-0Belshina Bobruisk
- FK Gomel0-0Belshina Bobruisk
- FK Gomel0-3Belshina Bobruisk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Gomel (rating 1520 vs 1463).
- H2H favours FK Gomel: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Gomel | Belshina Bobruisk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | – / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gomel 4–1–1 Belshina Bobruisk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Belarus Premier League | Belshina Bobruisk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FK Gomel |
| 03/02/24 Club Friendly List | FK Gomel | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Belshina Bobruisk |
| 29/10/23 Belarus Premier League | Belshina Bobruisk | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FK Gomel |
| 03/06/23 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Belshina Bobruisk |
| 18/11/22 Belarus Cup | FK Gomel | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belshina Bobruisk |
| 20/08/22 Belarus Premier League | FK Gomel | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Belshina Bobruisk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Dinamo Minsk | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | FC ML Vitebsk | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 35 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 31 |
| 5 | FK Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 35 | 18 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 15 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 14 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Gomel | Belshina Bobruisk |
|---|---|---|
| Slavia Mozyr | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 6-0 W | 5-1 W |
| FC Minsk | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| BATE Borisov | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dinamo Brest | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gomel (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Gomel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 02/07 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Belshina Bobruisk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 12 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Gomel vs Belshina Bobruisk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gomel win (54%). Probabilities: FK Gomel 54%, draw 26%, Belshina Bobruisk 21%.
How many goals are expected in FK Gomel vs Belshina Bobruisk?
The model expects 2.8 goals (FK Gomel 1.77 · Belshina Bobruisk 1.03), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Gomel vs Belshina Bobruisk?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.