Football · Belarus Premier League · 30/08, 13:00

Prediction: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino

Team pages: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk · Torpedo Zhodino

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1.32

Torpedo Zhodino1.37

1X2

35% 28% 37%

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Draw Torpedo Zhodino

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWDWLLLLL

Torpedo Zhodino 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLLLD

Head-to-head

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0–3–3 Torpedo Zhodino (6 last)

Torpedo Zhodino3-3FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-1Torpedo Zhodino
Torpedo Zhodino2-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Torpedo Zhodino1-1FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk0-1Torpedo Zhodino
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk1-2Torpedo Zhodino

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torpedo Zhodino (rating 1433 vs 1496).
H2H favours Torpedo Zhodino: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	Torpedo Zhodino
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.2	– / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 16:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.30 → 4.56▲	Pinn 4.56
X	3.29 → 3.55▲	Pinn 3.55
2	1.80 → 1.69▼	Pinn 1.69

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:58 +7’	4.30	3.29	1.80
08:33 +2’	4.52▲	3.52▲	1.68▼
15:58 +7’	4.56▲	3.55▲	1.69▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0–3–3 Torpedo Zhodino

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Belarus Premier League	Torpedo Zhodino	3-3 HT 0-2	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
23/08/25 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1-1 HT 0-1	Torpedo Zhodino
12/04/25 Belarus Premier League	Torpedo Zhodino	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
04/08/24 Belarus Premier League	Torpedo Zhodino	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
17/03/24 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0-1 HT 0-0	Torpedo Zhodino
26/08/22 Belarus Premier League	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1-2 HT 0-1	Torpedo Zhodino

Standings · Belarus Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Isloch	17	11	4	2	31	14	37
2	Dinamo Minsk	16	11	3	2	30	13	36
3	FC ML Vitebsk	16	10	5	1	32	13	35
4	FK Gomel	20	9	6	5	28	15	33
5	FC Vitebsk	20	9	5	6	21	17	32
6	Dinamo Brest	19	9	4	6	31	18	31
7	FC Minsk	19	8	4	7	25	24	28
8	Neman Grodno	18	8	3	7	20	17	27
9	Torpedo Zhodino	18	6	6	6	23	18	24
10	Slavia Mozyr	18	5	7	6	20	23	22
11	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	19	5	6	8	20	31	21
12	FC Baranovichi	19	4	6	9	21	35	18
13	Belshina Bobruisk	18	4	3	11	16	32	15
14	BATE Borisov	17	2	8	7	12	19	14
15	Dnepr Mogilev	19	2	8	9	16	29	14
16	Naftan Novopolotsk	19	2	4	13	16	44	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	Torpedo Zhodino
Belshina Bobruisk	0-2 L	2-0 W
Slavia Mozyr	1-3 L	1-1 D
Naftan Novopolotsk	0-3 L	4-0 W
FC Minsk	1-2 L	3-0 W
BATE Borisov	3-2 W	3-0 W
Dnepr Mogilev	1-0 W	0-0 D
Dinamo Minsk	0-1 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Torpedo Zhodino (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk

LWWDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
14/08	Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League	1-0	1-3	2	0	L
07/08	Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
01/08	FC Minsk Belarus Premier League	0-2	1-2	4	0	L
12/07	FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-3	4	3	L
04/07	Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
26/06	FK Gomel Belarus Premier League	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
21/06	BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League	0-1	3-2	3	0	W
14/06	Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
30/05	Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	3	L

Torpedo Zhodino

WWDWWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
20/08	Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League	0-1	0-4	8	4	L
08/08	Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
11/07	FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
05/07	Isloch Belarus Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
27/06	BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
20/06	Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
14/06	Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
29/05	Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League	4-0	4-0	7	2	W
23/05	FC Minsk Belarus Premier League	2-0	3-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Torpedo Zhodino win (37%). Probabilities: FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 35%, draw 28%, Torpedo Zhodino 37%.

How many goals are expected in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

The model expects 2.68 goals (FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1.32 · Torpedo Zhodino 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.