Football · Belarus Premier League · 23/08, 19:00
Prediction: FC ML Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov
Team pages: FC ML Vitebsk · BATE Borisov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
FC ML Vitebsk1.84
BATE Borisov0.85
1X2
FC ML Vitebsk
Draw
BATE Borisov
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC ML Vitebsk
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
BATE Borisov
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC ML Vitebsk
2–1
BATE Borisov
(3 last)
- BATE Borisov1-2FC ML Vitebsk
- BATE Borisov1-0FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk2-1BATE Borisov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC ML Vitebsk (rating 1567 vs 1473).
- H2H favours FC ML Vitebsk: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC ML Vitebsk | BATE Borisov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.2 | – / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC ML Vitebsk 2–0–1 BATE Borisov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 03/10/25 Belarus Premier League | BATE Borisov | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 18/05/25 Belarus Premier League | FC ML Vitebsk | 2-1 HT 2-0 | BATE Borisov |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | FC ML Vitebsk | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Isloch | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 34 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 15 | 30 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 30 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 28 |
| 8 | Neman Grodno | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 21 |
| 12 | FC Baranovichi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | 17 |
| 13 | Belshina Bobruisk | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 15 |
| 14 | BATE Borisov | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 13 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 13 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 42 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC ML Vitebsk | BATE Borisov |
|---|---|---|
| FC Baranovichi | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Slavia Mozyr | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Vitebsk | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Gomel | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Dnepr Mogilev | 5-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Dinamo Minsk | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC ML Vitebsk (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 17/05 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
BATE Borisov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/06 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC ML Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC ML Vitebsk win (60%). Probabilities: FC ML Vitebsk 60%, draw 24%, BATE Borisov 16%.
How many goals are expected in FC ML Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?
The model expects 2.69 goals (FC ML Vitebsk 1.84 · BATE Borisov 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC ML Vitebsk vs BATE Borisov?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.