Football · Belarus Premier League · 02/09, 17:30
Prediction: FC ML Vitebsk vs Belshina Bobruisk
Team pages: FC ML Vitebsk · Belshina Bobruisk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
FC ML Vitebsk2.04
Belshina Bobruisk1.05
1X2
FC ML Vitebsk
Draw
Belshina Bobruisk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC ML Vitebsk
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Belshina Bobruisk
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC ML Vitebsk
3–1–0
Belshina Bobruisk
(4 last)
- FC ML Vitebsk6-0Belshina Bobruisk
- Belshina Bobruisk1-2FC ML Vitebsk
- Belshina Bobruisk2-4FC ML Vitebsk
- FC ML Vitebsk1-1Belshina Bobruisk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC ML Vitebsk (rating 1564 vs 1470).
- H2H favours FC ML Vitebsk: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC ML Vitebsk | Belshina Bobruisk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 6.4 | – / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC ML Vitebsk 3–1–0 Belshina Bobruisk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/25 Belarus Cup | FC ML Vitebsk | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Belshina Bobruisk |
| 02/03/25 Belarus Cup | Belshina Bobruisk | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 20/09/24 Belarus Division 1 | Belshina Bobruisk | 2-4 HT 0-3 | FC ML Vitebsk |
| 26/05/24 Belarus Division 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Belshina Bobruisk |
Standings · Belarus Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC ML Vitebsk | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 14 | 38 |
| 2 | Isloch | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | FK Gomel | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 33 |
| 5 | FC Vitebsk | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 32 |
| 6 | Dinamo Brest | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 7 | Neman Grodno | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 30 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | FC Baranovichi | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 21 |
| 13 | BATE Borisov | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Dnepr Mogilev | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 15 |
| 15 | Belshina Bobruisk | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 15 |
| 16 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 44 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC ML Vitebsk | Belshina Bobruisk |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Brest | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| BATE Borisov | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| FC Baranovichi | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Slavia Mozyr | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-1 W | 5-1 W |
| FK Gomel | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC ML Vitebsk (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC ML Vitebsk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 19/08 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 01/07 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 17/05 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Belshina Bobruisk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Naftan Novopolotsk Belarus Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC ML Vitebsk vs Belshina Bobruisk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC ML Vitebsk win (59%). Probabilities: FC ML Vitebsk 59%, draw 23%, Belshina Bobruisk 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC ML Vitebsk vs Belshina Bobruisk?
The model expects 3.09 goals (FC ML Vitebsk 2.04 · Belshina Bobruisk 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC ML Vitebsk vs Belshina Bobruisk?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.