Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 19/08, 00:00
Prediction: Guabira vs Universitario De Vinto
Team pages: Guabira · Universitario De Vinto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.65Total
Guabira2.29
Universitario De Vinto1.35
1X2
Guabira
Draw
Universitario De Vinto
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guabira
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Universitario De Vinto
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guabira
3–2–1
Universitario De Vinto
(6 last)
- Universitario De Vinto1-1Guabira
- Universitario De Vinto5-2Guabira
- Guabira2-1Universitario De Vinto
- Guabira3-0Universitario De Vinto
- Universitario De Vinto2-2Guabira
- Guabira2-0Universitario De Vinto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guabira 1567 · Universitario De Vinto 1428
| Guabira | Draw | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.65 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guabira (rating 1567 vs 1428).
- H2H favours Guabira: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guabira | Universitario De Vinto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.7 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guabira 3–2–1 Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Universitario De Vinto | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Guabira |
| 25/02/26 America Friendlies | Universitario De Vinto | 5-2 HT 4-2 | Guabira |
| 20/02/26 America Friendlies | Guabira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 03/08/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Guabira | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
| 26/07/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Universitario De Vinto | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Guabira |
| 30/04/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Guabira | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universitario De Vinto |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guabira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 1 | The Strongest | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Universitario De Vinto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | Oriente Petrolero | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guabira | Universitario De Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Real Tomayapo | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Real Oruro | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Bolivar | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| GV San Jose | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Guabira (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guabira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 15 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 15/05 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Universitario De Vinto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/07 | Guabira Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/07 | Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guabira vs Universitario De Vinto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guabira win (57%). Probabilities: Guabira 57%, draw 22%, Universitario De Vinto 21%.
How many goals are expected in Guabira vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model expects 3.65 goals (Guabira 2.29 · Universitario De Vinto 1.35), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Guabira vs Universitario De Vinto?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.