Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 19/08, 21:00

Prediction: Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi

Team pages: Academia de Balompie Boliviano · Real Potosi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Academia de Balompie Boliviano1.71

Real Potosi1.27

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Academia de Balompie Boliviano Draw Real Potosi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDWLL

Real Potosi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–1 Real Potosi (1 last)

Real Potosi3-1Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1458 · Real Potosi 1550

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Draw	Real Potosi
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	47%	26%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Potosi (rating 1458 vs 1550).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Real Potosi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.8	4.1 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:43 +2’	1.91	3.50	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia de Balompie Boliviano 0–0–1 Real Potosi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/07/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Real Potosi	3-1 HT 2-1	Academia de Balompie Boliviano

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Aurora	1	1	0	1	0	3
2	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Real Potosi	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Academia de Balompie Boliviano	Real Potosi
Nacional Potosi	0-2 L	1-1 D
San Antonio Bulo Bulo	1-2 L	5-0 W
Independiente Petrolero	3-1 W	2-1 W
Always Ready	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Real Potosi (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Academia de Balompie Boliviano

WLLWLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	0	L
07/08	Guabira Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
04/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	4-1	5	4	W
01/08	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
25/07	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	2-3	4	10	L
20/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
16/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-1	2	9	W
09/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-2	1-3	8	7	L
30/05	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	1	7	L
11/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	3-1	9	4	W

Real Potosi

DWDWWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
09/08	Blooming Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
06/08	Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
02/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
26/07	Bolivar Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	Independiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
16/07	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	2-0	5-0	6	3	W
12/07	Nacional Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-1	8	7	D
09/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	2-1	3-1	4	7	W
10/05	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Academia de Balompie Boliviano win (47%). Probabilities: Academia de Balompie Boliviano 47%, draw 26%, Real Potosi 27%.

How many goals are expected in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Academia de Balompie Boliviano 1.71 · Real Potosi 1.27), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Academia de Balompie Boliviano vs Real Potosi?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.