Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 20/08, 00:00

Prediction: Independiente Petrolero vs Blooming

Team pages: Independiente Petrolero · Blooming

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Independiente Petrolero1.8

Blooming1.26

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Independiente Petrolero Draw Blooming

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Independiente Petrolero 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWDWW

Blooming 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWDLDLW

Head-to-head

Independiente Petrolero 2–4 Blooming (6 last)

Independiente Petrolero3-1Blooming
Blooming1-0Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero0-4Blooming
Independiente Petrolero1-5Blooming
Blooming5-0Independiente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero3-0Blooming

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Independiente Petrolero 1459 · Blooming 1507

	Independiente Petrolero	Draw	Blooming
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blooming (rating 1459 vs 1507).
H2H favours Blooming: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Independiente Petrolero	Blooming
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	0.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.9	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
23:45 +3’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Petrolero 2–0–4 Blooming

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	3-1 HT 0-1	Blooming
17/03/26 America Friendlies	Blooming	1-0 HT 0-0	Independiente Petrolero
13/03/26 America Friendlies	Independiente Petrolero	0-4 HT 0-2	Blooming
21/02/26 America Friendlies	Independiente Petrolero	1-5	Blooming
13/02/26 America Friendlies	Blooming	5-0 HT 4-0	Independiente Petrolero
16/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division	Independiente Petrolero	3-0 HT 1-0	Blooming

Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group D

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blooming	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bolivar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GV San Jose	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Independiente Petrolero	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Independiente Petrolero	Blooming
GV San Jose	1-0 W	1-1 D
The Strongest	2-1 W	1-1 D
Club Aurora	1-1 D	3-0 W
Oriente Petrolero	1-2 L	1-0 W
Real Potosi	1-2 L	0-2 L
Real Tomayapo	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Independiente Petrolero

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
08/08	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	2-1	1	7	W
05/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	2	6	D
01/08	Real Oruro Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
26/07	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-2	9	5	L
22/07	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
16/07	Academia de Balompie Boliviano Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	1-3	2	9	L
13/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
28/05	Racing Club Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
21/05	Botafogo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-3	1	3	L

Blooming

LLWDWDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Club Aurora Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	3-0	2	9	W
09/08	Real Potosi Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	1	4	L
07/08	Always Ready Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
01/08	San Antonio Bulo Bulo Bolivia Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/07	The Strongest Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Real Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
15/07	GV San Jose Bolivia Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	8	D
31/05	Oriente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
28/05	River Plate Copa Sudamericana	0-0	0-3	0	2	L
22/05	Carabobo Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-2	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Independiente Petrolero vs Blooming?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Petrolero win (49%). Probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 49%, draw 25%, Blooming 26%.

How many goals are expected in Independiente Petrolero vs Blooming?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Independiente Petrolero 1.8 · Blooming 1.26), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs Blooming?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.